轨道交通引导用地密度与地价的时空效应——以深圳市为例

发布时间：2018-05-02 18:51

本文选题：轨道交通 + 土地价格　；参考：《经济地理》2016年09期

【摘要】：城市轨道交通能显著影响站点和线路周边土地密度和价格,但这种影响存在时空范围和类型差异。基于此,定性分析深圳地铁一期工程罗宝线和龙华线主要站点周边用地类型、规模和开发密度的变化,然后利用深圳市地块交易数据,采用空间分析和回归模型探讨轨道交通对土地价格和容积率的时空间效应。研究发现:1在轨道交通与地价/容积率的时空关系上,距站点越近其用地密度和价格普遍更高,远离地铁站点,地价下降幅度增加。2土地价格与距站点距离具有显著的负相关关系,即距站点每增加1km,地价下降幅度约为5%~10%。在时间上,随着地铁运营的成熟,更显著提升站点周边的土地价格。3轨道交通对不同类型用地的影响存在差异,在地铁施工期间,对居住用地的负面效应高于商业用地,地铁开通运营和线路完善后,对商业的正向刺激效应高于居住用地。
[Abstract]:Urban rail transit can significantly affect the land density and price around stations and routes, but there are differences in space-time range and types of such effects. Based on this, this paper qualitatively analyzes the changes of land types, scale and development density around the main stations of the Lobao Line and Longhua Line of the first phase of the Shenzhen Metro Project, and then uses the land transaction data of Shenzhen City. The temporal and spatial effects of rail transit on land price and volume ratio were studied by using spatial analysis and regression model. The study found that in the space-time relationship between rail transit and land price / volume ratio, the closer to the station, the higher the land density and price, and far away from the subway station. There is a significant negative correlation between the land price and the distance from the site, that is, for each increase of 1 km from the site, the land price decreases by about 510%. In time, with the maturity of subway operation, the impact of rail transit on different types of land is different, and the negative effect on residential land is higher than that on commercial land during subway construction. After subway operation and line improvement, the positive stimulating effect to commerce is higher than that of residential land.
【作者单位】：北京大学城市规划与设计学院;北京大学城市与环境学院;北京市城市规划设计研究院;深圳市北京大学规划设计研究中心有限公司;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(41371168) 深圳市海外高层次人才计划(KQCX20130628093909157) 城市中国计划2016年资助项目北京大学—林肯研究院奖学金(DS20130901)
【分类号】：F572.88;F299.23

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