经济门槛视角下技术进步对能源消费的影响研究

发布时间：2018-05-26 01:34

本文选题：技术进步 + 能源消费　；参考：《常州大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：能源是人类赖以生存的保障和基础,充足的能源保障和持续的能源供应是国家长治久安、社会和经济稳定发展的物质基础。技术进步能够提高能源利用效率,降低能源损耗,一直被认为是最有效的节能手段之一,然而由于技术进步带来的经济增长会导致能源回弹效应的发生,而且经济发展本身也会对技术进步的节能效应产生影响,使得实际情况与理论结果背道而驰。这种情况下,技术进步与能源消费到底存在什么样的关系,以及经济发展在二者关系中所起到的作用如何,技术进步是否具有节能效应?弄清这些问题,对于解决我国未来能源供需矛盾,实现能源的可持续发展,制定更加合理的能源发展战略有着重要的理论和现实意义。本文首先对技术进步与能源消费关系以及经济增长对两者关系影响的研究文献进行回顾,在此基础上对技术进步和能源等概念进行界定。其次选取相关指标对技术进步指标的数值进行测算。再次,通过构建能源回弹效应模型考察经济发展对技术进步与能源消费关系的影响程度,并进一步构建Hansen的非动态面板门槛回归模型,从经济门槛的视角具体测算了技术进步对能源消费的确切影响。最后,根据前文的研究结果,提出一些适合我国节能实际情况的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Energy is the guarantee and foundation of human survival. Adequate energy security and sustainable energy supply are the material basis for the long-term stability of the country and the stable development of society and economy. Technological progress can improve the efficiency of energy use and reduce energy loss, which has been considered as one of the most effective means of energy conservation. However, the economic growth brought about by technological progress will lead to the occurrence of energy rebound effect. Moreover, the economic development itself will have an impact on the energy saving effect of technological progress, which makes the actual situation run counter to the theoretical results. In this case, what is the relationship between technological progress and energy consumption, and how does economic development play a role in the relationship, and whether technological progress has energy-saving effect? To clarify these problems is of great theoretical and practical significance to solve the contradiction between supply and demand of energy in the future, to realize the sustainable development of energy, and to formulate a more reasonable strategy of energy development. This paper first reviews the research literature on the relationship between technological progress and energy consumption and the influence of economic growth on the relationship between them, and then defines the concepts of technological progress and energy. Secondly, the relevant indexes are selected to calculate the value of technological progress index. Thirdly, by constructing the energy rebound effect model to investigate the impact of economic development on the relationship between technological progress and energy consumption, and further to construct the non-dynamic panel threshold regression model of Hansen. The impact of technological progress on energy consumption is measured from the perspective of economic threshold. Finally, according to the above research results, some countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to suit the actual situation of energy saving in our country.
【学位授予单位】：常州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F206

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