基于合同能源管理高校节电项目风险管理研究

发布时间：2018-05-28 02:31

本文选题：合同能源管理 + 高校节电项目　；参考：《兰州交通大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,随着我国高校规模和人员的不断扩大,进而导致了高校也成为用能重地。其中,据统计,高校用电占其它耗能比例的30%以上。这种高能源消耗不仅浪费了很多电能,而且还让高校承受着巨大的财务负担。国家为了解决高校电能过度的现象,引入合同能源管理模式对高校进行节电改造。由节能服务公司将所有的项目内容进行承接,高校在节电项目建设完成之后,节能服务公司将完成的项目交付高校,和高校一起分享节电收益。同时,这对高校和节能服务公司都是一个双赢的过程。但是,由于高校电力系统的复杂性和高校群体的特殊性,在采用合同能源管理模式进行高校节电时,会产生一定的风险。因此,论文以高校节电项目在嫁接于合同能源管理的模式后对风险管理方面的研究。近年来,基于合同能源管理项目在我国其他建筑节能领域的成功应用示范,相信采用合同能源管理模式一定会对高校节电项目产生重要的借鉴作用。本文通过调查分析某高校节电项目的特点并应用合同能源管理模式,对节能服务公司在高校节电项目中可能发生的风险因素做详细的识别,找出风险发生的原因和风险程度的大小,分析高校客户在节电改造项目全过程风险,确保高校能够获得可靠的利益。将风险管理和合同能源管理理论作为最坚实的后盾,建立我国高校在节电项目合同能源管理的风险评价指标。通过对风险的识别及分析,以粗糙集理论对节电项目的风险因素进行权重确定,采用模糊综合评判对节电项目进行评价,最后应用案例进行模型验证。评估后,发现实例中的高校节电项目风险水平为中等,该校能够很好的利用已有的技术和管理水平解决相应的问题。运用各种行之有效的应对措施,减少在节电项目中产生的风险,降低项目的成本和损失,保证该校节电项目收益和节电效果的最大化。将高校的节电项目在合同能源管理模式下的风险进行研究,能够很好的提高我国高校节电项目改造的成功率,降低项目风险,以成功的案例为示范,可以吸引更多的高校参与到节电改造的队伍当中,为高校节电事业的发展提供一种新思路。
[Abstract]:In recent years, with the continuous expansion of the scale and personnel of colleges and universities in China, colleges and universities have become energy-intensive areas. Among them, according to statistics, electricity consumption in colleges and universities accounted for more than 30% of other energy consumption. This high energy consumption not only wastes a lot of electricity, but also places a huge financial burden on colleges. In order to solve the phenomenon of excessive electric energy in colleges and universities, the government introduces the mode of contract energy management to save electricity in colleges and universities. After the construction of the energy-saving project, the energy-saving service company will deliver the completed project to the university, and share the power saving benefits with the university. At the same time, this is a win-win process for universities and energy-saving service companies. However, because of the complexity of university power system and the particularity of university group, there will be some risks when using contract energy management mode to save electricity in colleges and universities. Therefore, the paper studies the risk management after grafted into the mode of contract energy management. In recent years, based on the successful application and demonstration of the contract energy management project in other fields of building energy conservation in China, it is believed that the adoption of the contract energy management model will certainly have an important reference role for the energy saving projects in colleges and universities. By investigating and analyzing the characteristics of power saving projects in a certain university and applying the contract energy management mode, this paper makes a detailed identification of the risk factors that may occur in the energy saving projects in colleges and universities. Find out the cause of risk and the degree of risk, analyze the risk of college customers in the whole process of power saving transformation project, to ensure that colleges and universities can obtain reliable benefits. Taking the theory of risk management and contract energy management as the most solid backing, this paper establishes the risk evaluation index of the energy management contract in power saving projects in colleges and universities of our country. Through the identification and analysis of the risk, the weight of the power saving project risk factors is determined by rough set theory, the power saving project is evaluated by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation, and the model is verified by a case study. After evaluation, it is found that the risk level of the power saving project in the university is medium, and the university can make good use of the existing technology and management level to solve the corresponding problems. All kinds of effective countermeasures are used to reduce the risk in the power saving project, to reduce the cost and loss of the project, and to ensure the maximization of the benefit and effect of the power saving project in the school. The research on the risk of power saving projects in colleges and universities under the mode of contract energy management can improve the success rate of the transformation of power saving projects in colleges and universities in our country, reduce the project risks, and take successful cases as an example. It can attract more colleges and universities to participate in the power saving reform team, and provide a new way of thinking for the development of the power saving enterprise in colleges and universities.
【学位授予单位】：兰州交通大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F206

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