资源型城市能源效率及其影响因素的实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-09 00:55

本文选题：资源型城市 + 超效率SBM-Undesirable模型　；参考：《南京财经大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：能源消耗与污染排放是资源型城市和地区可持续发展面临的突出问题。资源型城市能源利用方式大多是粗放型,能源利用的低效率不仅加剧了相对不足的能源供应支撑经济高速发展的压力,也不可避免地造成了生态环境的恶化。因此考察资源型城市能源效率及其影响因素,提出有针对性的对策建议,对于促进资源型城市的可持续发展具有重要的现实意义。本文首先基于2010-2012年的相关数据,根据超效率SBM-Undesirable模型计算得出资源型城市能源效率值。本文同时考虑国民生产总值与环境污染作为产出并区分为合意产出与非合意产出,运用超效率SBM-Undesirable模型得出的能源效率更加贴合现代社会发展实际。能源效率测度结果显示2010-2012年东北地区的能源效率值最高,东部地区其次,中部地区与西部地区均处于能源效率最低位。而基于超效率SBM-Undesirable模型计算得出资源型城市历年节能潜力值,纵向比较发现61座资源型城市平均节能潜力呈现下降趋势；以2012年数据进行横向比较发现61座资源型城市平均节能潜力为9.78%,东部地区平均节能潜力为15.48%,东北及中西部平均节能潜力则分别为-1.96%、10.78%和16.94%。其次本文运用Tobit模型研究的能源效率影响因素主要有经济发展水平、产业结构、所有制结构、进出口、直接利用外资和政府影响力。实证分析结果显示经济发展水平对于所有地区的能源效率的影响作用是积极的；产业结构、所有制结构、进出口比重对于全部资源型城市和东部、东北部和中部地区的能源效率的影响是反向的,而在西部的影响作用则是正向积极的；直接利用外商投资对于全部资源型城市和东部、东北部和中部地区的能源效率的影响是正向的积极影响,而对于西部地区资源型城市能源效率值的影响则是反向消极的；政府影响力影响作用为资源型城市财政支出比例上升,全部资源型城市、中部地区以及西部地区能源效率值上升。最后,主要从政府和企业两个层面提出促进资源型城市节能与能源效率提高方面的建议,进而促进资源型城市的可持续发展。
[Abstract]:Energy consumption and pollution emission are the outstanding problems faced by the sustainable development of resource-based cities and regions. The energy utilization mode of resource-based cities is mostly extensive. The low efficiency of energy utilization not only intensifies the pressure of relatively insufficient energy supply to support the rapid development of economy, but also inevitably leads to the deterioration of ecological environment. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to investigate the energy efficiency and its influencing factors of resource-based cities and put forward targeted countermeasures and suggestions to promote the sustainable development of resource-based cities. Based on the data of 2010-2012, the energy efficiency of resource-based cities is calculated according to the SBM-Undesirable model. In this paper, the gross national product (GNP) and environmental pollution are considered as outputs, which are divided into desirable outputs and non-desirable outputs. The energy efficiency obtained by using the ultra-efficient SBM-Undesirable model is more suitable for the development of modern society. The results of energy efficiency measurement show that the energy efficiency in Northeast China is the highest in 2010-2012, followed by the eastern region, the central region and the western region are in the lowest level of energy efficiency. Based on the SBM-Undesirable model of super-efficiency, the energy saving potential of resource-based cities is calculated. The longitudinal comparison shows that the average energy-saving potential of 61 resource-based cities is decreasing. According to the data of 2012, the average energy saving potential of 61 resource-based cities is 9.78, that of the eastern region is 15.48, that of the northeast and the central and western regions is -1.966.78% and 16.94%, respectively. Secondly, Tobit model is used to study the influencing factors of energy efficiency, such as the level of economic development, industrial structure, ownership structure, import and export, direct utilization of foreign capital and government influence. The results of empirical analysis show that the level of economic development has a positive effect on the energy efficiency of all regions; the industrial structure, ownership structure, import and export proportion for all resource-based cities and the eastern part, The impact of energy efficiency in the northeast and central regions is reversed, while the impact in the west is positive; the direct use of foreign investment for all resource-based cities and the east, The effect of energy efficiency in the northeast and central regions is positive, while the impact on the energy efficiency of resource-based cities in the west is negative, and the effect of government influence is the increase of the proportion of fiscal expenditure in resource-based cities. All resource-based cities, the central region and the western region increased energy efficiency. Finally, the paper puts forward some suggestions on how to promote energy saving and energy efficiency improvement in resource-based cities from the two aspects of government and enterprise, so as to promote the sustainable development of resource-based cities.
【学位授予单位】：南京财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F299.2;F206

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