基于最优评价方法的我国能源结构低碳评价研究

发布时间：2018-10-23 10:41

【摘要】：根据广义距离最小原理构建最优评价方法选择模型,并据此认为粗糙集理论相对于熵值法更加适用于2000—2013年我国能源结构低碳的评价。粗糙集理论的评价结果显示,我国能源结构低碳水平主要由二氧化硫排放、二氧化碳排放、人均GDP增长率、化学需氧量、能源消费量等具体指标综合反映;"先污染后治理"的环境思想以及能源规划与经济发展的脱节使得近年来我国能源结构低碳水平起伏较大。因此,我国能源结构低碳调整应以社会经济效益为重心,以能源规划效益为手段,兼顾环境效益的提高,逐渐由"又快又好发展"向"又好又快发展"的经济发展方式转变。
[Abstract]:According to the principle of generalized distance minimization, the selection model of optimal evaluation method is constructed, and the rough set theory is considered to be more suitable than entropy method for the evaluation of low carbon energy structure in China from 2000 to 2013. The evaluation results of rough set theory show that the low carbon level of China's energy structure is mainly composed of sulfur dioxide emissions, carbon dioxide emissions, per capita GDP growth rate, chemical oxygen demand. Energy consumption and other specific indicators reflect comprehensively, the environmental thought of "first pollution and then control" and the disconnection between energy planning and economic development make the low carbon level of energy structure of our country fluctuate greatly in recent years. Therefore, the low carbon adjustment of energy structure in China should focus on social and economic benefits, take energy planning benefits as means, and give consideration to the improvement of environmental benefits, and gradually change from "fast and good development" to "good and fast development" of economic development.
【作者单位】：哈尔滨工程大学经济管理学院;燕山大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究项目“基于低碳经济的节能减排实现路径与绩效评价研究”(13YJA630016) 河北省社会科学基金项目“京津冀区域产业结构与环境质量耦合机理及模拟调控研究”(HB14YJ009) 高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金项目“基于低碳经济的能源结构优化研究”(20122304110018) 燕山大学青年教师自主研究计划项目“基于灵敏度分析的河北省能源结构调整的碳减排效应研究”(14SKA003)
【分类号】：F206

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