我国经济产出与钢社会蓄积的关联分析
发布时间：2018-10-30 10:36
【摘要】：基于动态物质流分析方法及时间序列分析方法,本文以我国1949-2012年年度数据为样本,研究了工业化演进过程中我国经济产出与钢社会蓄积之间的关联。研究结果表明,随着经济的发展和工业化进程的演进,钢以实物产品的形式不断蓄积于我国社会当中,且蓄积的速度不断加快。我国经济产出与钢的社会蓄积之间存在长期协整关系,钢的社会蓄积既能在短期内推动经济的增长,又影响着经济产出的长期整体走势,而经济产出只是钢社会蓄积变化的长期原因。这说明我国的经济建设高度依赖钢的使用,而且经济增长对钢需求的拉动是一个长期的过程,不会在短期内对钢的需求造成显著影响。
[Abstract]:Based on the method of dynamic material flow analysis and time series analysis, this paper studies the relationship between economic output and steel social accumulation in the process of industrialization evolution using the annual data of China from 1949 to 2012 as samples. The results show that with the development of economy and the evolution of industrialization, steel accumulates in our society in the form of physical products, and the speed of accumulation is accelerating. There is a long-term cointegration relationship between economic output and social accumulation of steel in China. The social accumulation of steel can not only promote economic growth in the short term, but also affect the long-term overall trend of economic output. Economic output is only a long-term reason for the accumulation and change of steel society. This indicates that the economic construction of our country is highly dependent on the use of steel, and the pulling of economic growth to steel demand is a long-term process and will not have a significant impact on steel demand in the short term.
【作者单位】： 哈尔滨工业大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71273074)
【分类号】：F224;F124;F426.31
，
本文编号：2299764
[Abstract]:Based on the method of dynamic material flow analysis and time series analysis, this paper studies the relationship between economic output and steel social accumulation in the process of industrialization evolution using the annual data of China from 1949 to 2012 as samples. The results show that with the development of economy and the evolution of industrialization, steel accumulates in our society in the form of physical products, and the speed of accumulation is accelerating. There is a long-term cointegration relationship between economic output and social accumulation of steel in China. The social accumulation of steel can not only promote economic growth in the short term, but also affect the long-term overall trend of economic output. Economic output is only a long-term reason for the accumulation and change of steel society. This indicates that the economic construction of our country is highly dependent on the use of steel, and the pulling of economic growth to steel demand is a long-term process and will not have a significant impact on steel demand in the short term.
【作者单位】： 哈尔滨工业大学管理学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(71273074)
【分类号】：F224;F124;F426.31
，
本文编号：2299764
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