劳动份额演进的一般规律——基于历史数据及增长理论的解释
发布时间：2018-11-16 11:14
【摘要】：尽快扭转劳动在初次分配中的不利地位,对于全面建成小康社会至关重要。发达国家自19世纪中期到20世纪末近150年的数据表明,劳动份额会出现阶段性波动,但最终将收敛到70%~80%之间。从增长理论来看,劳动份额所表现出的长期收敛和阶段性波动特征,可以由长期增长中卡尔多式稳定增长和熊彼特式爆炸式增长交替过程来解释,前者决定收敛,后者导致了波动。因此,前期大幅下降的我国劳动份额,未来持续上升并向发达国家收敛可以预期,但过低的分配份额仍需要公共政策加以提升。
[Abstract]:Reversing the disadvantage of labor in the initial distribution as soon as possible is very important for building a well-off society in an all-round way. The data of developed countries from the mid-19th century to the end of the 20th century show that the labor share will fluctuate periodically, but will eventually converge to between 70% and 80%. From the point of view of growth theory, the characteristics of long-term convergence and periodic fluctuation of labor share can be explained by the alternating process of Calder stable growth and Schumpeterian explosive growth, the former determines convergence. The latter led to volatility. Therefore, in the future, the labor share of our country, which fell sharply in the early period, can be expected to continue to rise and converge to the developed countries, but too low allocation share still needs to be raised by public policy.
【作者单位】： 盐城工学院经管学院;
【基金】：江苏省社会科学基金项目“江苏劳动份额下降及未来变化趋势研究”(项目编号:10EYB005)阶段性成果
【分类号】：F240
本文编号：2335360
[Abstract]:Reversing the disadvantage of labor in the initial distribution as soon as possible is very important for building a well-off society in an all-round way. The data of developed countries from the mid-19th century to the end of the 20th century show that the labor share will fluctuate periodically, but will eventually converge to between 70% and 80%. From the point of view of growth theory, the characteristics of long-term convergence and periodic fluctuation of labor share can be explained by the alternating process of Calder stable growth and Schumpeterian explosive growth, the former determines convergence. The latter led to volatility. Therefore, in the future, the labor share of our country, which fell sharply in the early period, can be expected to continue to rise and converge to the developed countries, but too low allocation share still needs to be raised by public policy.
【作者单位】： 盐城工学院经管学院;
【基金】：江苏省社会科学基金项目“江苏劳动份额下降及未来变化趋势研究”(项目编号:10EYB005)阶段性成果
【分类号】：F240
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，本文编号：2335360
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