货币政策对我国城镇就业的非对称性效果研究

发布时间：2019-03-06 10:16

【摘要】：货币政策是我国重要的宏观调控工具,对我国城镇就业具有非对称性效果。本文在理论分析的基础上,使用向量自回归(VAR)模型实证检验货币政策在城镇就业上的非对称性效果。研究发现,一是货币政策对产出的非对称性效果在时间跨度和作用强度上均有表现;二是货币政策对城镇就业具有非对称性效果,且在城镇不同规模企业的就业中非对称性效果存在差异;三是扩张性货币政策对产出上升的贡献越来越有限,而紧缩性货币政策对产出下降的作用将会越来越大。货币政策对城镇大型企业就业变动的影响有限且后期不断削弱,对城镇中小企业就业变化而言,扩张性货币政策的贡献弱于紧缩性货币政策。
[Abstract]:Monetary policy is an important macro-control tool in China, and has a non-symmetrical effect on the employment of urban and urban employment in China. Based on the theoretical analysis, this paper uses the vector autoregressive (VAR) model to examine the asymmetric effect of monetary policy in urban employment. It is found that the non-symmetry effect of monetary policy on the output of urban and urban employment has a non-symmetrical effect on the time span and the effect intensity, and the second is that the monetary policy has a non-symmetry effect on the urban employment, and there is a difference in the non-symmetry effect of the employment in different scale enterprises in the town; Third, the contribution of expansionary monetary policy to the rise of output is becoming more and more limited, and the effect of tight monetary policy on the decline of output will become more and more important. The influence of monetary policy on the employment change of the large-scale enterprises in the town is limited and the later period is weakening, and the contribution of the expansionary monetary policy to the employment change of the small and medium-sized enterprises in the town is weaker than the tight monetary policy.
【作者单位】：山西财经大学;南京大学;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“江浙沪现代经济发展模式比较分析”(14JJD790016),项目负责人:李晓春南京大学中国社会主义市场建设协同创新项目资助
【分类号】：F822.0;F249.2

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