劳动力流动对珠三角经济增长影响的研究

发布时间：2018-01-06 13:21

本文关键词：劳动力流动对珠三角经济增长影响的研究　出处：《暨南大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：经济增长的完整内容包括经济增长数量和经济增长质量这两个方面。大量劳动力的流入不仅对珠三角经济增长数量的扩张有积极的促进作用，而且也影响着珠三角经济增长质量。近年来广东省实施了双转移战略，珠三角也加快了产业转型升级和经济增长方式的转变。在这样的环境下，研究劳动力流动对珠三角经济增长数量和质量的影响就显得很有意义。本文首先对劳动力流动和经济增长这两个概念进行内涵界定，其次在深入分析珠三角劳动力流动和经济增长现状的基础上，从经济增长数量（GDP）和经济增长质量（经济增长质量包括有经济增长效率、经济增长稳定性、经济增长协调性、经济增长持续性和经济增长结果这五个方面）两个视角分析劳动力流动对珠三角经济增长的影响机制。然后采用2000-2012年珠三角9个地级市的统计数据，分别用动态面板数据模型和向量自回归模型，计量分析劳动力流动对珠三角经济增长数量和质量的影响。本文得到的结论有：（1）珠三角仍然是中国劳动力流入最集中的地区，且劳动力主要流向珠三角东岸的深圳、东莞和广州等城市，，但总体上流入珠三角的劳动力人力资本水平较低。（2）2001-2012年期间，流动劳动力对珠三角经济增长数量的平均贡献率为13.95%，作用不是很显著，而技术要素的贡献率在此期间有较大提升。（3）总体来看，珠三角经济增长质量不高，经济增长质量提高远落后于数量的扩张。劳动力流动与珠三角经济增长协调性及稳定性不存在长期均衡关系，但劳动力流动会降低经济增长效率和经济增长持续性，增强经济增长结果。最后本文提出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The complete content of economic growth includes the quantity of economic growth and the quality of economic growth. The inflow of a large number of labor force not only has a positive effect on the expansion of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. It also affects the quality of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. In recent years, Guangdong Province has implemented a dual transfer strategy, the Pearl River Delta has also accelerated the transformation and upgrading of industry and the transformation of economic growth. In such an environment. It is of great significance to study the influence of labor mobility on the quantity and quality of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. This paper first defines the two concepts of labor mobility and economic growth, and then analyzes the current situation of labor mobility and economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. From the quantity of economic growth to GDP) and the quality of economic growth (the quality of economic growth includes the efficiency of economic growth, economic growth stability, economic growth coordination. The sustainability of economic growth and the outcome of economic growth). Two perspectives to analyze the impact of labor mobility on the economic growth of the Pearl River Delta, and then use the 2000-2012 statistical data of nine prefecture-level cities in the Pearl River Delta. Dynamic panel data model and vector autoregressive model are used respectively. Quantitative analysis of the impact of labor mobility on the quantity and quality of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. The conclusion of this paper is that the Pearl River Delta is still the most concentrated area of labor inflow in China. And the labor force mainly flows to Shenzhen, Dongguan and Guangzhou on the east coast of the Pearl River Delta, but the labor capital level of the Pearl River Delta is relatively low during 2001-2012. The average contribution rate of floating labor to the economic growth of the Pearl River Delta is 13.95, the effect is not very significant, but the contribution rate of technical elements has greatly improved during this period. The quality of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta is not high and the quality of economic growth is far behind the expansion of quantity. There is no long-term equilibrium relationship between labor flow and the coordination and stability of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. However, labor mobility will reduce the efficiency and sustainability of economic growth, and enhance the results of economic growth. Finally, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：暨南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F249.27

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