基于扩展的超越对数引力模型贸易成本弹性测度与分析——以中国与主要亚太国家间贸易为例

发布时间：2018-01-12 05:29

本文关键词：基于扩展的超越对数引力模型贸易成本弹性测度与分析——以中国与主要亚太国家间贸易为例　出处：《南开经济研究》2015年03期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：Novy(2013)超越对数引力模型是目前唯一能够准确测度贸易成本弹性的模型。本文在其基础上从贸易成本的四个维度(生产型、制度型、组织型、交易型)将影响贸易成本的主要因素纳入到Novy(2013)超越对数引力模型对其进行扩展,并利用扩展后的模型对中国与主要亚太国家21大类产品的贸易成本弹性分别进行测度与分析。结果显示中国与上述国家贸易成本弹性均为正,通过降低贸易成本均可提高双边贸易量。然而中国出口与进口贸易成本弹性差值均为负,中国通过降低贸易成本不具有绝对优势。中国可以优先考虑本国优势产品积极推进贸易自由化和便利化。中国对于不同的亚太国家具有不同的优势产品,需要兼顾不同类型国家,实现亚太地区包容性整合。
[Abstract]:Novyn 2013) is the only model that can accurately measure the elasticity of trade cost. Based on this model, this paper analyzes the four dimensions of trade cost (production, institution and organization). (transactional) incorporating the main factors affecting trade costs into Novyn 2013) extending it beyond the logarithmic gravity model. The expanded model is used to measure and analyze the trade cost elasticity of 21 kinds of products between China and the main Asia-Pacific countries respectively. The results show that the trade cost elasticity between China and the above countries is positive. The volume of bilateral trade can be increased by reducing trade costs. However, the elasticity difference between China's export and import trade costs is negative. China does not have an absolute advantage by reducing trade costs. China can give priority to its own superior products and actively promote trade liberalization and facilitation. China has different advantages for different Asia-Pacific countries. Need to take into account different types of countries to achieve inclusive integration in the Asia-Pacific region.
【作者单位】：北京农学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大项目“同步推进工业化、城镇化和农业现代化战略研究”(项目编号:11&ZD009) “北京农学院促进人才培养综合改革专项计划”(项目编号:BNRC&YX201405)资助
【分类号】：F224;F752
【正文快照】： 一、引言亚太地区作为当前全球经济最具活力的地区,涵盖了中、美、日三大经济体及东盟等地区经济集团,拥有世界经济总量的57%、世界贸易总量的48%,和全球人口的40%,。同时也成为各方利益争夺的焦点,各类自贸安排陷入重叠化和碎片化,为多边贸易造成了障碍,一定程度上增加了贸易

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