贵州省对外开放与经济增长关系的实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-10 01:08

本文选题：对外开放　切入点：经济增长　出处：《贵州财经大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放30多年来,贵州省经济取得了骄人的成绩,特别是近年贵州省GDP、对外贸易水平、利用外商直接投资等增速明显,位居全国前列。贵州省的对外开放主要历经了四个阶段：第一阶段,从1985年到1991年,贵州省对外开放处于起步阶段,对外贸易和利用外资刚刚起步；第二阶段,从1992年到1995年,贵州省对外开放处于大规模增长阶段；第三阶段,从1996年到2001年,贵州省对外开放处于调整阶段；第四阶段,从2002年到至今,贵州省对外开放处于稳步增长阶段。目前,贵州省位于西部大开发重要的省份,在国家政策扶持的主导下,贵州省的改革开放水平不断提高,对外贸易的规模逐渐扩大,利用外商直接投资的数量和质量逐步提高。然而,贵州省地理环境、历史环境和社会环境综合因素共同决定了贵州省经济水平相对全国处于较低水平。虽然近年来,贵州省经济增长势头强劲,但是我们必须清醒认识到贵州省实际情况,贵州省目前对外贸易规模占全国贸易的比重很小,利用外资方面也存在严重的结构不平衡,改革开放政策方面也存在一定的局限性。因此,本文在前人研究分析的基础上对贵州省改革开放与经济增长影响按照“理论研究-实证分析-政策建议”科学顺序方法进行了实证分析研究。通过对文献归纳总结,理论的梳理,经济数据的实证分析,本文综合分析主要得出以下结论：(1)贵州省通过提升全省整体的开放水平可以拉动为贵州省经济快速增长；(2)贵州省外贸依存度和经济增长存在单向的因果关系,对外贸易的进出口水平都能直接推动贵州省经济发展,给贵州省经济提供强劲的动力；(3)贵州省外资依存度与经济增长具有关联性,存在单向因果关系,即外资依存度能够提高贵州省科技水平、管理水平,引进先进的设备,增加劳动就业就会和税收收入比重,吸引优秀的人才,推动贵州省经济的发展水平。贵州省目前取得成绩是值得肯定的,在今后的发展过程中,贵州省政府要提出明确的经济发展战略政策和加大对外开放水平力度,促进经济健康、快速、稳定的可持续发展。根据贵州省省情并结合本文对经济增长因素的实证分析,主要有以下政策建议：第一,有关投资开放的对策建议。其措施包括：(1)提升企业与企业之间、产业与产业之间的关联水平,促进国际投资在推动经济增长方面作用机制有效发挥；(2)提升本省企业的竞争力,倡导本省企业积极参与国际资本市场竞争；(3)进一步优化国际投资结构。第二,有关贸易开放的对策建议。其措施包括：(1)在扩大对外贸易总量的同时,积极优化进出口贸易结构；(2)以产业结构调整为依托,推动国际贸易的快速发展。
[Abstract]:Over the past 30 years of reform and opening up, Guizhou's economy has made remarkable achievements, especially in recent years, the growth rate of Guizhou's GDP, the level of foreign trade, the utilization of foreign direct investment, etc. Guizhou Province's opening to the outside world has gone through four main stages: the first stage, from 1985 to 1991, Guizhou Province's opening to the outside world is in its infancy, foreign trade and utilization of foreign capital are just beginning; the second stage, from 1992 to 1992, Guizhou's opening to the outside world is in the stage of large-scale growth; the third stage, from 1996 to 2001, the readjustment of Guizhou's opening to the outside world; and the period of 4th, from 2002 to the present, Guizhou Province's opening to the outside world is in a stage of steady growth. At present, Guizhou province is located in the important province of western development. Under the guidance of the national policy support, the level of reform and opening up in Guizhou Province has been continuously improved, the scale of foreign trade has gradually expanded, and the quantity and quality of foreign direct investment have been gradually improved. However, the comprehensive factors of Guizhou's geographical environment, historical environment and social environment together determine that Guizhou's economic level is relatively low compared with the whole country. Although in recent years, Guizhou's economic growth momentum has been strong. However, we must be aware of the actual situation in Guizhou Province. At present, the scale of foreign trade in Guizhou Province is very small, and there is also a serious structural imbalance in the use of foreign capital. The policy of reform and opening up also has some limitations. On the basis of previous research and analysis, this paper makes an empirical study on the impact of reform and opening up and economic growth in Guizhou Province according to the scientific sequence method of "theoretical research-empirical analysis-policy advice". Theoretical analysis, empirical analysis of economic data, The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: 1) Guizhou Province can promote the rapid economic growth of Guizhou Province by raising the overall opening level of Guizhou Province) there is a one-way causal relationship between the degree of dependence on foreign trade and economic growth in Guizhou Province. The level of import and export of foreign trade can directly promote the economic development of Guizhou Province, and provide a strong driving force for Guizhou's economy. (3) the degree of dependence on foreign investment in Guizhou Province is related to economic growth, and there is a one-way causal relationship. That is, the degree of dependence of foreign capital can improve the level of science and technology, management level, introduce advanced equipment, increase the proportion of labor employment and tax revenue, attract excellent talents, and promote the level of economic development of Guizhou Province. The achievements of Guizhou Province at present are worthy of recognition. In the process of future development, the Guizhou Provincial Government should put forward a clear strategic policy for economic development and increase the level of opening up to the outside world, so as to promote the healthy and rapid development of the economy. Stable and sustainable development. According to the situation of Guizhou Province and the empirical analysis of the economic growth factors in this paper, there are the following policy recommendations: first, the countermeasures and suggestions on the opening up of investment. The measures include: 1) promoting the relationship between enterprises and enterprises. The level of connection between industry and industry, promoting the role of international investment in promoting economic growth, and effectively giving full play to the competitiveness of enterprises in this province, Advocating the active participation of provincial enterprises in international capital market competition. (3) further optimizing the international investment structure. Second, countermeasures and suggestions on trade liberalization. The measures include: 1) while expanding the total volume of foreign trade, Actively optimize the structure of import and export trade) promote the rapid development of international trade based on the adjustment of industrial structure.
【学位授予单位】：贵州财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F127;F125.4

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