吉林省白山市城镇化发展水平的实证分析

发布时间：2018-03-10 03:03

本文选题：城镇化　切入点：AHP层次分析法　出处：《内蒙古师范大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：目前，中国已进入中等收入国家行列，但由于中国幅员辽阔，地区发展极不平衡，尤其体现在城乡差距中，其涉及范围广、差距大必将影响中国的全面协调可持续发展，城镇化问题将是今后几十年中国最大的发展潜力。推进城镇化进程不仅是调整经济结构的主要任务，也是减少城乡收入差距、促进经济良性和可持续发展的重大举措。在刚刚闭幕的2014年两会中国家提出了新型城镇化规划（2014—2020年），对城镇化水平、质量、格局、模式和体制做出新的要求，重点提出加快发展中小城市，并重视东北老工业基地的振兴，国家出台了一系列优惠政策使白山市在经济发展中面临着前所未有的发展机遇。因此，有必要对白山市城镇化水平进行有效系统的评价分析，以便加快白山市城镇化发展进程、提高城镇化质量，进而促进白山地区经济的发展。本文在论述国内外城镇化研究的基础上，简要的介绍了城镇化的基本原理和相关理论，为白山市城镇化的发展奠定了理论基础；其次对白山市城镇化发展状况进行分析，从中发现优越的自然禀赋条件和社会经济条件使白山市城镇化具有不可比拟的优势，人口城镇化水平逐年提高，城镇数量也逐年增多，但是存在城镇化进程缓慢，质量不高的不足。国家和省级市级都制定了促进城镇化发展的政策，这为白山市城镇化的发展提供了有利的政策保障。本文采用AHP层次分析法，结合指标选取的科学性和白山市城镇化的实际情况，从经济、人口、社会、环境四个方面选取了17项指标，构建了城镇化水平评价指标体系；并通过对2010年和2011年全国和白山市的数据进行计算、比较，得出综合排名和标准层的排名，从综合排名分析可得，白山市城镇化水平在经济和人口方面明显高于全国水平，社会和环境方面低于国家水平的一般结论。在此基础上，，又从经济指标、人口指标、社会指标和环境指标四个方面逐项细化分析，发现白山市经济发展速度较快，非农人口比重高，人口城镇化率较高；但第三产业发展相对滞后，这将不利于经济的发展和农村剩余劳动力的转移；基础设施建设相对落后，环境城镇化程度低，与优越的生态资源禀赋不相匹配。文章的最后对国内外典范城市城镇化发展的措施和成功经验进行归纳总结，并针对实证研究中白山市城镇化存在的问题，在合理规划布局、大力发展第三产业、重视生态环境保护、完善基础设施建设等方面提出对策和建议。
[Abstract]:At present, China has entered the ranks of middle-income countries, but because of its vast territory and extremely unbalanced regional development, especially in the urban-rural gap, it involves a wide range, and the large gap will inevitably affect China's overall, coordinated and sustainable development. Urbanization will be China's greatest development potential in the coming decades. Promoting the urbanization process is not only the main task of adjusting the economic structure, but also reducing the income gap between urban and rural areas. Major initiatives to promote sound and sustainable economic development. In the just concluded two sessions on 2014, the countries put forward a new urbanization plan for 2014-2020, which makes new demands on the level, quality, pattern, model and system of urbanization. Focusing on speeding up the development of small and medium-sized cities, and attaching importance to the revitalization of the old industrial base in Northeast China, the state has issued a series of preferential policies to make Baishan City face unprecedented development opportunities in its economic development. It is necessary to evaluate and analyze the urbanization level of Baishan City effectively and systematically in order to speed up the development of urbanization in Baishan City, improve the quality of urbanization and promote the economic development of Baishan area. On the basis of discussing the research of urbanization at home and abroad, this paper briefly introduces the basic principles and related theories of urbanization, which lays a theoretical foundation for the development of urbanization in Baishan City. Secondly, it analyzes the development situation of urbanization in Baishan City. It is found that the superior natural endowment conditions and social and economic conditions make the urbanization of Baishan City have incomparable advantages, the level of population urbanization is increasing year by year, the number of cities and towns is also increasing year by year, but there is a slow process of urbanization. The national and provincial governments have formulated policies to promote the development of urbanization, which provides a favorable policy guarantee for the development of urbanization in Baishan City. In this paper, AHP Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used to select 17 indexes from the aspects of economy, population, society and environment, combining with the scientific selection of indicators and the actual situation of urbanization in Baishan City, and the evaluation index system of urbanization level is constructed. By comparing the data of 2010 and 2011 between Baishan city and Baishan city, we get the rank of comprehensive rank and standard layer. From the analysis of comprehensive rank, we can find that the urbanization level of Baishan city is obviously higher than that of the whole country in terms of economy and population. The general conclusion that the social and environmental aspects are lower than the national level. On this basis, from the four aspects of economic indicators, population indicators, social indicators and environmental indicators, it is found that the economic development rate of Baishan City is relatively fast. The proportion of non-agricultural population is high, the rate of population urbanization is high, but the development of tertiary industry is relatively lagging, which will be unfavorable to the development of economy and the transfer of rural surplus labor force, the construction of infrastructure is relatively backward, and the degree of environmental urbanization is low. At the end of the article, the measures and successful experiences of the development of urbanization at home and abroad are summarized, and aiming at the problems existing in the urbanization of Baishan City, the rational layout of the urbanization in Baishan City is put forward. The countermeasures and suggestions are put forward in developing the tertiary industry, paying attention to the protection of ecological environment and improving the construction of infrastructure.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.21

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