城镇化与生态环境交互协调行为研究——以黄河三角洲为例

发布时间：2018-03-16 17:29

本文选题：城镇化与生态环境　切入点：系统动力学　出处：《华东经济管理》2015年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：城镇化与生态环境系统协调发展是保证经济增长可持续性的内生动力。文章结合熵值法和协调理论构建协调度评价模型,以黄河三角洲各地区数据为基础,计算2013年度各个地区城镇化与生态环境的协调度。运用系统动力学方法,通过VENSIM软件绘制因果反馈图,表明城镇化与生态环境之间存在复杂交互作用。基于东营市数据建立城镇化与生态环境系统的结构流图,通过仿真模拟,发现第三产业产值占比是影响城镇化与生态环境协调度最敏感的因素,建成区绿化覆盖率次之,工业化率影响最弱。通过反馈评价,验证了为产业结构升级有助于提高城镇化与生态环境的协调度的结论,表明优化产业结构是促进城镇化与生态环境协调发展的有效策略。
[Abstract]:The coordinated development of urbanization and ecological environment system is the endogenous motive force to ensure the sustainability of economic growth. This paper combines entropy method and coordination theory to construct the evaluation model of coordination degree, which is based on the regional data of the Yellow River Delta. The degree of coordination between urbanization and ecological environment was calculated in 2013. By using system dynamics method, causality feedback map was drawn by VENSIM software. It shows that there is a complex interaction between urbanization and ecological environment. Based on the data of Dongying city, the structure flow diagram of urbanization and ecological environment system is established. It is found that the proportion of output value of the tertiary industry is the most sensitive factor affecting the coordination between urbanization and ecological environment, followed by the green coverage rate of the built areas, and the weakest impact on the industrialization rate. The conclusion that upgrading industrial structure is helpful to improve the coordination degree between urbanization and ecological environment shows that optimizing industrial structure is an effective strategy to promote the coordinated development of urbanization and ecological environment.
【作者单位】：北京工业大学经济与管理学院;山东财经大学金融学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金项目(61273230) 教育部“新世纪优秀人才支持计划”项目(NCET-12-1027) 山东省“金融产业优化与区域发展管理协同创新中心”首席科学家项目暨山东省社会科学规划重大委托课题(14AWTJ01-4) 首都社会建设与社会管理协同创新中心资助项目
【分类号】：X22;F299.27

【参考文献】