中国劳动力市场需求弹性估算

发布时间：2018-03-31 23:25

本文选题：劳动需求弹性　切入点：就业波动　出处：《人口学刊》2015年06期

【摘要】：劳动需求弹性反映企业劳动力需求对工资率变动的敏感程度,可以衡量劳动市场的波动程度和就业市场的稳定性。本文首次利用大型微观工业企业层面数据估计中国的劳动需求弹性,并对实证结果进行了多种稳健性检验,丰富了国际上劳动需求弹性领域的实证文献。基本结论包括:我国工业企业劳动需求弹性在文献给出的(-0.75,-0.15)这一合理取值范围内;1998~2009年我国劳动市场整体波动程度有所减缓,这在很大程度上归因于我国本土企业的劳动需求弹性呈现明显的下降趋势,而外向型企业相较本土企业由于替代效应和规模效应的作用,其劳动需求波动的趋势更为明显。因此,在外向型企业就业的劳动者更容易遭受波动风险。
[Abstract]:The elasticity of labor demand reflects the sensitivity of enterprise labor demand to the change of wage rate and can measure the fluctuation of labor market and the stability of job market.For the first time, this paper estimates the elasticity of labor demand in China by using the data of large micro industrial enterprises, and makes a variety of robust tests on the empirical results, which enriches the empirical literature in the field of labor demand elasticity in the world.The basic conclusions are as follows: the elasticity of labor demand of industrial enterprises in our country is in the reasonable range of 0.75 ~ 0.15 given in the literature. The fluctuation degree of labor market in our country from 1998 to 2009 has slowed down.To a large extent, this is attributed to the obvious downward trend of the elasticity of labor demand of local enterprises in China, while the trend of fluctuation of labor demand of export-oriented enterprises is more obvious than that of local enterprises because of the effect of substitution and scale effect.As a result, workers employed in export-oriented enterprises are more vulnerable to volatility risks.
【作者单位】：西南财经大学国际商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目:贸易开放条件下就业保护立法与劳动力市场效应:基于企业和个体双重异质性的研究(71403216) 四川省哲学社会科学重点项目:四川发展内陆开放经济的研究(SC14A004) 西南财经大学“中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助”项目:法经济学视角下就业保护立法与跨国公司直接投资选址决策:来自全球的宏观和微观证据(JBK150205) 四川省高校科研创新团队:自由贸易区战略与人民币区研究(JBK130504)
【分类号】：F249.2

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