城镇化对山东省城乡收入差距的影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-04 21:54

本文选题：山东省　切入点：城镇化　出处：《天津财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放30多年来,山东省经济社会快速发展,人民生活水平得到了很大的提高,但与此同时,山东省城乡收入差距持续扩大的问题也日益突出。过大的收入差距不单会制约山东省的经济发展,还会对社会的稳定造成严重的负面影响。因此,在我国新型城镇化的快速发展的大背景下,山东省如何构建公平合理的分配秩序.避免城乡收入差持续扩大是现阶段应当重点解决的问题,也是该研究的立足点。该文首先对山东省城镇化和城乡收入差距演进过程和现状进行了全面的分析。发现山东省城镇化水平整体不高,而且内部表现出较大的区域性差异。山东省城乡收入差距虽然低于全国平均水平,但是与东部沿海经济发达的省份相比城乡收入差距仍然较大,而且省内也存在较大的区域差异。其次,该文从城镇化的概念入手,从人口结构效应、产业效应、经济拉动效应三个方面分析了城镇化对城乡收入差距的影响机理。随后该文基于影响机理的分析,利用协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验、误差修正模型、脉冲响应、方差分解等实证方法验证了1980-2012年山东省城镇化对城乡收入差距的具体影响,并得出如下结论：第一,山东省人口城镇化、第三产业发展、经济的增长都是城乡收入差距变动的原因,而且人口城镇化会扩大山东省城乡收入差距,而第三产业的发展、经济的增长会缩小山东省城乡收入差距。第二,在短期内,第三产业的发展会缩小山东省城乡收入差距、人口城镇化水平的提升和经济增长会扩大山东省城乡收入差距。第三,人口城镇化、第三产业发展与经济增长对山东省城乡收入差距的贡献度各不相同。短期内,人口城镇化对山东省城乡收入差距的影响最大,而长期内,经济增长对城乡收入差距的影响最大。最后,本文根据所得结论提出相应对策建议,认为山东省在城镇化发展过程当中应当从打破城乡壁垒、消除二元结构；增加农民收入；调整产业结构以及合理收入分配秩序这几个方面入手来缩小城乡收入差距。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up for more than 30 years, the economy and society of Shandong Province have developed rapidly, and the living standard of the people has been greatly improved, but at the same time, the problem of the widening income gap between urban and rural areas in Shandong Province has become increasingly prominent.Excessive income gap will not only restrict the economic development of Shandong Province, but also have a serious negative impact on social stability.Therefore, under the background of rapid development of new urbanization in China, how to construct fair and reasonable distribution order in Shandong Province.To avoid the widening of income gap between urban and rural areas is an important problem to be solved at this stage, and it is also the foothold of this study.This paper analyzes the process and present situation of urbanization and urban-rural income gap in Shandong Province.It is found that the urbanization level of Shandong Province is not high as a whole, and there is a great regional difference within it.Although the income gap between urban and rural areas in Shandong Province is lower than the national average, the income gap between urban and rural areas is still large compared with the economically developed provinces in the eastern coastal areas, and there are also large regional differences in the provinces.Secondly, starting with the concept of urbanization, this paper analyzes the influence mechanism of urbanization on urban-rural income gap from three aspects: population structure effect, industrial effect and economic pull effect.Based on the analysis of influence mechanism, this paper uses cointegration test, Granger causality test, error correction model, impulse response, variance decomposition and other empirical methods to verify the specific impact of urbanization on urban-rural income gap in Shandong Province from 1980 to 2012.The conclusions are as follows: first, the urbanization, the development of the tertiary industry and the economic growth of Shandong Province are all the reasons for the change of the urban-rural income gap, and the urbanization of the population will expand the urban-rural income gap in Shandong Province, while the development of the tertiary industry.Economic growth will narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas in Shandong Province.Second, in the short term, the development of the tertiary industry will narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas in Shandong Province, and the level of urbanization and economic growth will expand the income gap between urban and rural areas in Shandong Province.Third, the contribution of population urbanization, tertiary industry development and economic growth to the urban-rural income gap in Shandong Province is different.In the short term, population urbanization has the greatest impact on the urban-rural income gap in Shandong Province, while in the long run, economic growth has the greatest impact on the urban-rural income gap.Finally, according to the conclusions, this paper puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions, that Shandong Province should break down the barriers between urban and rural areas, eliminate the dual structure, increase the income of farmers, and increase the income of farmers in the process of urbanization.Adjust the industrial structure and reasonable income distribution order to narrow the income gap between urban and rural areas.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F124.7;F299.27

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