内蒙古城镇化与经济增长关系研究

发布时间：2018-04-10 03:17

本文选题：内蒙古　切入点：城镇化　出处：《内蒙古大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：城镇化是经济发展的动力和必要过程,同时又是社会经济发展到一定阶段的必然结果,两者之间是紧密相关的。自改革开放以来,内蒙古经济得到持续快速发展,尤其是在2002年以后,人均GDP年均增长22.87%,高出全国平均水平7.65个百分点；与此同时内蒙古城镇人口到2012年末也达到1437.6万人,占总人口57.74%1,进入人口城镇化水平较高级阶段,但是两者飞速发展的同时也都存在着许多问题,比如发展质量不高,协调性不强等等,探讨内蒙古城镇化与增长之间的关系对于提升城镇化水平,促进经济发展,增强两者的良性互动作用,都有极其重要的意义。也因此经济发展与城镇化进程之间的关系研究己成为协调社会经济发展的重大课题。本文在参考了大量国内外相关文献的基础上,对城镇化与经济增长的关系进行了深入的理论和实证分析。研究主要分为以下几个部分内容：第一部分导论介绍了文章的研究背景、研究意义、研究内容、研究方法以及前人对这一问题的研究综述。第二部分介绍了城镇化与经济增长的理论关系,通过梳理城镇化与经济增长的经典理论,对城镇化与经济增长的互动关系进行了分析,指出经济是城镇化的基础,同时城镇化通过聚集效应、规模效应、分工效应反过来带动了经济的增长,另外因为城镇化与工业化的不相适应,使得城镇化与经济增长不协调,出现了城镇化超前和滞后的问题。第三部分介绍了内蒙古城镇化发展的历程、现状。改革开放以前,国家实行计划经济体制,地方城镇化建设是在政府推动下,自上而下的发展方式,缺乏与经济必要的互动,城镇化与经济之间的关联性不强。改革开放以后城镇作为经济活动的空间载体,充分发挥了增长极作用,两者的相关性增强。另外对人均GDP和人口城镇化率进行拟合直线可以看出,城镇化与经济增长之间存在正向的线性关系。第四部分对内蒙古城镇化与经济增长的关系进行了实证分析,本文分别从人口与土地两个方面对城镇化与经济增长的关系进行动态计量分析。结果发现内蒙古城镇化与经济增长之间存在长期协整关系。同时经济增长推动了城镇化进程,但城镇化对经济增长的促进作用并不明显。第五部分根据研究结论,寻找问题,并提出促进城镇化与经济增长协调发展的政策建议,包括：包括转变经济发展方式,加快户籍制度、土地制度改革、社会保障制度改革,科学合理规划城镇建设,关注重点城市发展,发挥城市圈效应等等。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is not only the motive force and necessary process of economic development, but also the inevitable result of social economic development to a certain stage, which is closely related to each other.Since the reform and opening up, the economy of Inner Mongolia has been developing continuously and rapidly. Especially since 2002, the average GDP per capita has increased by 22.87 percent per capita, which is 7.65 percentage points higher than the national average. At the same time, the urban population of Inner Mongolia has reached 14.376 million by the end of 2012.57.741% of the total population, entering the higher stage of population urbanization, but there are also many problems with the rapid development of both, such as poor quality of development, weak coordination, and so on.It is of great significance to explore the relationship between urbanization and growth in Inner Mongolia for promoting the level of urbanization, promoting economic development and enhancing the positive interaction between the two.Therefore, the research on the relationship between economic development and urbanization process has become a major issue in coordinating social and economic development.Based on the reference of a large number of domestic and foreign literatures, this paper makes an in-depth theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between urbanization and economic growth.The research is divided into the following parts:The first part introduces the research background, research significance, research content, research methods and previous researches on this issue.The second part introduces the theoretical relationship between urbanization and economic growth, through combing the classical theory of urbanization and economic growth, analyzes the interactive relationship between urbanization and economic growth, and points out that economy is the basis of urbanization.At the same time, urbanization promotes economic growth through the effects of aggregation, scale, and division of labor. In addition, because urbanization and industrialization do not adapt, urbanization and economic growth are not in harmony.Appeared the problem that urbanization leads and lags behind.The third part introduces the course and present situation of urbanization in Inner Mongolia.Before the reform and opening up, the country carried out the planned economy system, the local urbanization construction is under the government impetus, the top-down development way, lacks the necessary interaction with the economy, the correlation between the urbanization and the economy is not strong.After the reform and opening up, cities and towns as the space carrier of economic activities, fully play the role of growth pole, the correlation between the two is enhanced.In addition, by fitting the per capita GDP and population urbanization rate, we can see that there is a positive linear relationship between urbanization and economic growth.The fourth part makes an empirical analysis on the relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Inner Mongolia. This paper makes a dynamic econometric analysis of the relationship between urbanization and economic growth from the two aspects of population and land.The results show that there is a long-term co-integration relationship between urbanization and economic growth in Inner Mongolia.At the same time, economic growth promotes the process of urbanization, but the role of urbanization to promote economic growth is not obvious.In the fifth part, according to the conclusions of the research, to find out the problems, and put forward the policy recommendations to promote the coordinated development of urbanization and economic growth, including: changing the mode of economic development, speeding up the household registration system, land system reform, social security system reform.Scientific and rational planning of urban construction, focus on the development of key cities, play the role of urban circle, and so on.
【学位授予单位】：内蒙古大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F299.27;F127

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