外商直接投资对山东省就业的效应研究

发布时间：2018-05-27 23:26

本文选题：山东省 + 外商直接投资　；参考：《山东大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着改革开放的不断深入,作为靠近沿海地区的人口大省-山东省吸引了越来越多的外商直接投资,2012年实际利用外资为123.53亿美元,占全国总量的11.06%。近年来山东省实际使用FDI始终处于全国前列,对该省的经济发展和人民生活水平的提高有着积极的推动作用。有研究表明,在经济增长对就业的拉动效应越来越弱的情况下外商直接投资反而成了就业增长的又一新动力。因此,FDI对山东省就业的影响愈加明显。同时,就业是民生之本,一直以来政府不断进行宏观经济调控力图达到充分就业,在就业压力越来越大、就业形势日益严峻的状况下,研究外商直接投资对就业如何产生影响具有重要的实际意义。国内外学者已经做了很多研究,由于分析角度和量化指标的不同,有人认为FDI的就业效应显著,而有些得出的结论认为FDI对就业的推动效果不明显。但在一般意义上,学术界认为,在经济开放形势下,FDI对拉动就业增长和促进就业质量提高有着积极作用。本文在前人研究的基础上运用《山东省统计年鉴》1982-2012年的时间序列和山东省17个地市的面板数据进行实证分析,着重定量研究外商直接投资对就业的影响作用,力求客观地得出真实结论。在内容安排上,本文首先对国内外FDI与就业的一些理论和文献进行归纳分类,然后从来源地区、行业差异、区位因素和产业分布四个角度介绍了山东省外商直接投资现状,进而对二者关系进行理论分析,着重阐述FDI如何在就业数量、质量和区位上产生效应。运用时间序列进行实证分析的结果显示,外商直接投资与山东省就业存在长期的协整关系,而且FDI对山东省就业的增长有积极意义,1%的FDI增长就会带来0.0875%的就业人数增加。同时FDI促进了山东省产业结构的升级和劳动力工资水平的提高,而通过不同区位因素下的面板数据的回归分析得出,山东省东部地区外商直接投资的就业吸纳效应高于中西部,致使山东省劳动力由中西部向东部转移。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of reform and opening up, Shandong Province as a large province near the coastal areas - Shandong province has attracted more and more foreign direct investment. In 2012, the actual use of foreign capital was 12 billion 353 million dollars, accounting for the total amount of the country. In recent years, the actual use of FDI in the province was always in the front of the country, the economic development of the province and the people's living standard. Research shows that foreign direct investment has become another new driving force for employment growth. Therefore, the effect of FDI on employment in Shandong is more obvious. At the same time, employment is the foundation of the people's livelihood, and the government has been carrying on the macro economy continuously. Under the situation of increasing employment pressure and employment situation, the study of the impact of FDI on employment is of great practical significance. Scholars at home and abroad have done a lot of research. Because of the difference between the analysis angle and the quantitative index, some people think that the employment effect of FDI is significant, Some conclusions are drawn that the effect of FDI on employment is not obvious, but in general, the academic community believes that, under the economic opening situation, FDI has a positive effect on stimulating employment growth and promoting the improvement of employment quality.
On the basis of the previous research, this paper uses the time series of the statistical yearbook of Shandong province >1982-2012 and the panel data of 17 cities in Shandong province to make an empirical analysis, focusing on the quantitative study of the impact of foreign direct investment on employment, and striving to get the real conclusion objectively. In the content arrangement, the first of this article is FDI and employment at home and abroad. Some theories and documents are classified and classified, and then the present situation of foreign direct investment in Shandong province is introduced from four angles of source area, industry difference, location factor and industry distribution, and then the relationship between the two is theoretically analyzed, and the effect of FDI on the quantity, quality and location of employment is emphasized. The empirical analysis is carried out by time series. The analysis shows that there is a long-term co integration relationship between FDI and employment in Shandong Province, and FDI has positive significance to the growth of employment in Shandong province. The growth of 1% FDI will bring about an increase in the number of employment in 0.0875%. Meanwhile, FDI promotes the upgrading of industrial structure and the improvement of the wage level of labor force in Shandong Province, and through different location factors. The regression analysis of the panel data shows that the employment absorption effect of foreign direct investment in eastern Shandong is higher than that in the Midwest, resulting in the transfer of the labor force from the Midwest to the East in Shandong province.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6;F249.27

【参考文献】