工业化进程影响物流业发展的路径与作用机理——基于多国数据的实证研究

发布时间：2018-06-20 11:09

本文选题：产业结构 + 社会劳动生产率　；参考：《北京工商大学学报(社会科学版)》2015年05期

【摘要】：在工业化进程中,物流业的发展受多种因素的影响,呈现出明显的阶段性特征。工业化对物流业的影响路径主要体现在社会劳动生产率的提高、产业结构的演进、城市化的扩展与信息技术的提升等四个方面。实证结果表明,在工业化的整个过程中,社会劳动生产率对物流业发展的"量"和"质"具有持续促进作用,但影响力表现出阶段递减的趋势,信息技术的作用却是一直在持续上升。产业结构对物流量增长和物流绩效提升均发挥了重要的促进作用,且作用表现稳定。城市化对物流业的"量"与"质"的影响不同,对前者表现出先增后降的倒"U"形式,而对后者的促进作用较为稳定。因此,在工业化的不同阶段,应注意这些差异性,以有的放矢地发挥其重要作用。
[Abstract]:In the process of industrialization, the development of logistics industry is affected by many factors, showing obvious stage characteristics. The impact of industrialization on the logistics industry is mainly reflected in four aspects: the improvement of social labor productivity, the evolution of industrial structure, the expansion of urbanization and the improvement of information technology. The empirical results show that, in the whole process of industrialization, social labor productivity has a continuous promoting effect on the quantity and quality of logistics development, but the influence shows a decreasing trend of stage. The role of information technology has been rising. Industrial structure plays an important role in promoting the growth of material flow and logistics performance, and the effect is stable. The effect of urbanization on the quantity and quality of the logistics industry is different. The former shows the form of "U" which increases first and then decreases, but the latter has a more stable promoting effect. Therefore, in different stages of industrialization, we should pay attention to these differences and play an important role.
【作者单位】：广东财经大学工商管理学院;中山大学新华学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“基于产业和空间二维互动的物流业与制造业双重集聚研究”(11YJC790200) 广东省自然科学基金博士启动项目“广东省交通枢纽物流量中长期预测研究”(S2013040016119)
【分类号】：F424;F259.2

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