研发强度、经济周期与长期经济增长

发布时间：2018-08-29 15:18

【摘要】：本文使用1998—2010年26个发达国家与16个发展中国家的面板数据,研究经济周期各阶段与长期经济增长对研发强度的影响及其机理,并选取同时期我国30个省市的面板数据进行考察。实证结果表明,发达国家研发强度呈增长型周期特征,而发展中国家研发强度呈逆周期特征;长期经济增长对发达国家研发强度有负向影响,而对发展中国家研发强度有显著正向影响。研究还发现,研发投入水平不同的国家,研发强度周期特征也存在显著差异。与其他发展中国家相同,我国研发强度逆周期变化,然而经济扩张对我国研发强度的负向影响力度更大,导致的直接后果是持续的经济波动对研发强度具有更大负效应。
[Abstract]:In this paper, panel data from 26 developed countries and 16 developing countries from 1998 to 2010 are used to study the impact and mechanism of economic growth on R & D intensity at different stages of the economic cycle and over the long term. At the same time, the panel data of 30 provinces and cities in China were selected to investigate. The empirical results show that the R & D intensity of developed countries has the characteristics of increasing cycle, while the intensity of R & D in developing countries is in reverse cycle, and the long-term economic growth has a negative effect on the R & D intensity of developed countries. There is a significant positive impact on R & D intensity in developing countries. It is also found that there are significant differences in the cycle characteristics of R & D intensity between countries with different R & D investment levels. Like other developing countries, China's R & D intensity changes in reverse cycle, however, the negative impact of economic expansion on R & D intensity is greater, the direct result is that sustained economic fluctuations have a greater negative effect on R & D intensity.
【作者单位】：浙江工业大学经贸管理学院;浙江工业大学浙商创新发展研究院;
【基金】：国家自科基金项目“基于知识资本国际化配置的动态能力演变与创新政策研究”(71173192G0301) 国家社科基金重大项目“全面提高开放型经济水平研究”(13&ZD046)资助
【分类号】：F204;F113.7

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