农业信贷对农业全要素生产率影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-07 05:40

本文关键词：农业信贷对农业全要素生产率影响的实证研究　出处：《复旦大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：农业经济在我国实体经济中占有相当重要的地位,是我国农村经济发展的基础。目前我国正处于由传统农业向现代化农业发展的转型过渡阶段,满足农业的生产需求不再是依靠扩大资本投资和增加劳动供给,未来的增长将完全取决于农业全要素生产率。但是由于农产品的特殊性,使得农户和农业生产企业很难通过自身积累获得资金投入提高农业TFP,必须依靠外部融资。本文基于农业信贷的角度,实证分析金融发展是否促进了农业全要素生产率的提高。首先,本文回顾了国外金融发展理论的形成过程和农村金融理论的三次演变,以及中国学者以金融发展理论和农村金融理论为基础,对我国国家层面和农村区域层面金融发展对经济增长影响的实证分析。其次,依据我国1978年以来农村金融市场化改革对我国农业信贷发展阶段进行划分,从绝对量和相对量、需求和供给主体上描述我国农业信贷的现状,分析农业信贷体系,以及提出存在的问题。随后,根据1999-2008年各省间的面板数据,首先运用DEA-Malmquist指数对我国农业全要素生产率进行测算,分析其结果我们发现1999-2008年我国东部、中部、西部和东北地区农业全要素生产率发展呈收敛态势,随后对农业信贷与农业全要素生产率的影响进行实证分析,结果表明：农业信贷对农业全要素生产率具有显著的正向作用,其内在作用机制在于：1)农业信贷增加了资金流动性,促进了投资和资源配置效率的提高,从而提高了综合技术效率水平；2)农业信贷为技术进步筹集了创新资本,分散了创新投资风险,并在一定程度上促进了科技成果的转化和应用。最后,总结研究结果,对我国农村金融的发展提出政策建议,并针对本文的不足,提出后续研究方法。
[Abstract]:The agricultural economy occupies a very important position in China's real economy, is the basis for the development of rural economy in China. At present, our country is in the transition from traditional agriculture to modern agriculture development, to meet the needs of agricultural production is no longer rely on expanding capital investment and increase the supply of labor, the future growth will depend entirely on the agricultural total factor productivity. But due to the particularity of agricultural products, so that farmers and agricultural production enterprises is difficult to obtain funds accumulated through its own investment to improve the agricultural TFP, must rely on external financing. This paper based on the perspective of agricultural credit, empirical analysis of financial development can promote the agricultural total factor productivity. Firstly, this paper reviews the formation of three time evolution and the theory of rural financial development theory of foreign finance, and Chinese scholars on the theory of financial development and rural finance theory as the foundation, An empirical analysis on the national level and regional level of rural financial development on the impact of economic growth. Secondly, on the basis of China's rural financial market reform since 1978 on the development stage of China's agricultural credit division, from the absolute volume and relative volume, current situation of supply and demand on the subject of China's agricultural credit, agricultural analysis the credit system, and puts forward the existing problems. Then, according to the panel data of 1999-2008 between provinces, firstly uses the DEA-Malmquist index to calculate China's agricultural total factor productivity, analysis of the results we found that 1999-2008 in East China, Central Agricultural TFP development in Western and northeastern regions showed a convergence trend, then the impact on agriculture credit and agricultural TFP by empirical analysis, the results showed that the agricultural credit to the agricultural TFP has a significant positive effect, the The mechanism lies in: 1) agricultural credit increase liquidity, promote investment and improve the efficiency of resource allocation, so as to improve the level of technical efficiency; 2) to raise capital for agricultural credit innovation technological progress, scattered innovation investment risk, and promote the transformation and application of scientific and technological achievements to a certain extent at last, summarizing the research results, the paper put forward policy suggestions on the development of China's rural finance, and for the lack of this paper, puts forward the following research methods.

【学位授予单位】：复旦大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.4;F327

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