政府补贴下企业采用电动汽车配送的时机与价格分析

发布时间：2018-04-03 21:21

本文选题：城市物流　切入点：电动汽车　出处：《中央财经大学学报》2017年03期

【摘要】：考虑成本的不确定性和政府补贴,笔者利用电动汽车的使用率反映配送服务的绿色度,将绿色敏感型需求引入实物期权分析中,建立了企业采用电动汽车配送的时机、采用时机和价格联合决策、采用时机选择和价格协商三个模型,经研究得出了采用时机和配送服务价格的解析解,分析了基于配送企业采用时机的政府之最低补贴额。通过研究揭示了以电动汽车的使用率和成本的风险为代表的投资特性对决策结果的影响:成本风险的增加或电动汽车使用率的提高会导致配送企业推迟投资,这使得政府需提高最低补贴额,以激励配送企业尽早投资;随着成本波动率的提高,企业采用时机的成本临界值更低,配送服务的价格也随之下降;配送服务的价格与电动汽车的使用率之间存在非单调的关系,受采用电动汽车配送的成本增长率的影响。本研究成果为分析企业何时采用电动汽车配送以及政府如何激励企业尽早投资提供参考,为加快推进电动汽车在城市配送领域的应用提供理论支持。
[Abstract]:Considering the uncertainty of cost and government subsidy, the author uses the utilization rate of electric vehicle to reflect the green degree of distribution service, introduces the green sensitive demand into the real option analysis, and establishes the opportunity for enterprises to adopt electric vehicle distribution.In this paper, the decision of opportunity and price is combined, and the three models of opportunity selection and price negotiation are adopted. The analytical solution of using opportunity and price of distribution service is obtained, and the minimum subsidy amount of government based on the opportunity of adopting opportunity is analyzed.This makes it necessary for the government to increase the minimum subsidy to encourage distribution enterprises to invest as early as possible; with the increase of cost volatility, the critical value of cost for enterprises to adopt the opportunity is lower, and the price of distribution services also decreases.There is a non-monotone relationship between the price of distribution service and the utilization rate of electric vehicles, which is affected by the cost growth rate of electric vehicle distribution.The research results provide a reference for the analysis of when enterprises adopt electric vehicle distribution and how to encourage enterprises to invest as soon as possible, and provide theoretical support for speeding up the application of electric vehicles in urban distribution field.
【作者单位】：中央财经大学商学院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金资助项目“Knight不确定环境下战略性外包的价格协商与合同选择研究”(项目编号:71201177);国家自然科学基金资助项目“商业银行物流金融信用风险的度量及防范研究:基于Copula理论视角的分析”(项目编号:71272235);国家自然科学基金资助项目“不完美资本市场下中小企业供应链金融的风险与决策研究:基于MCDM的视角”(项目编号:71372191) 北京高等学校青年英才计划项目“Knight不确定环境下的实物期权及其在外包定价中的应用研究”(项目编号:YETP0967)
【分类号】：F274;F812.45;F275

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