信息基础设施对我国经济增长的空间溢出效应研究

发布时间：2018-05-07 09:07

本文选题：信息基础设施 + 经济增长　；参考：《西北师范大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：一部电话联系你我他,一台电脑纵观天下,这无不透射着信息基础设施在我们日常生活中所扮演的重要角色。如今我们已步入信息时代,信息基础设施的建设编织了一张无形的网络,同时也为我国经济的发展提供了一种新的路径,“大数据”的应用,是对信息技术和互联网发展的充分体现,可以深度挖掘商业潜力,有助于企业降低运营成本、提高盈利收益;“互联网+”的出现,是虚拟与现实的有机融合,助推了传统行业的进一步发展。当前我国地区差距十分明显,经济发展水平不均衡,由此形成“强强联合”、“弱弱集聚”的格局,即东部发达省份邻接发达省份,西部欠发达省份相邻相对落后省份,而中部成了东、西部分布格局的缓冲带。这一现象是否与地区间经济发展的关联度有关,对于研究我国经济增长是不容忽视的问题。直观上,我们可以感受到信息基础设施对经济增长带来的有效影响,而这种效果是否具体存在,同时,经济增长是否存在空间溢出效应以及这种效应强度的大小,需要从实证的角度进行验证。基于此,我们将探讨信息基础设施对我国经济发展的空间溢出效应。本文对这一问题的探究思路为:(1)通过对文献的总结,梳理出相关研究的结论。(2)通过内生经济增长理论、核心-边缘理论、本地市场效应理论和循环累计因果效应理论构建信息基础设施对我国经济增长空间溢出效应的理论。(3)从信息基础设施及经济增长的发展现状入手,直观分析信息基础设施与经济增长的关联性,并利用空间探索性数据分析技术对经济增长的空间依赖性进行了检验,发现我国各省份的经济增长存在明显的空间相关性。(4)在实证分析上,为了验证纳入空间效应的合理性,我们在给出空间计量模型估计结果的基础上,也列出了传统OLS回归的估计结果,此外,在模型估计的过程中运用了两种估计方法和两种口径的经济开放度指标。结果显示,传统计量模型估计的结果不再有效,空间计量模型较好的估计了我国经济增长的空间溢出效应,表明经济增长的溢出效应的确存在,同时信息基础设施对经济增长具有显著的促进作用;两种方法以及两种口径指标的交替估计结果均没有显著的差异,验证了信息基础设施对经济增长的影响和经济增长的溢出效应估计结果的稳健性。(5)根据以上的归纳、分析,我们就本文的基本结论给出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:A phone call to you and me, a computer across the world, reflects the important role that information infrastructure plays in our daily lives. Now that we have entered the information age, the construction of information infrastructure has woven an invisible network, and at the same time has provided a new path for the economic development of our country, the application of "big data". It is a full embodiment of the development of information technology and the Internet, which can tap the commercial potential in depth, help enterprises to reduce their operating costs and increase their profits; the emergence of "Internet" is an organic fusion of virtual and realistic. Helped to promote the further development of traditional industries. At present, the regional disparity in our country is very obvious, and the level of economic development is not balanced, thus forming the pattern of "strong and strong combination" and "weak and weak agglomeration", that is, the eastern developed provinces are adjacent to the developed provinces, and the western underdeveloped provinces are adjacent to the relatively backward provinces. And the middle part becomes the buffer zone of the distribution pattern in the east and west. Whether this phenomenon is related to the regional economic development is a problem that can not be ignored in the study of China's economic growth. Intuitively, we can feel the effective impact of information infrastructure on economic growth, and whether this effect exists or not, and whether there is a spatial spillover effect of economic growth and the magnitude of this effect. It needs to be verified from an empirical point of view. Based on this, we will explore the spatial spillover effect of information infrastructure on China's economic development. In this paper, the way to explore this problem is as follows: (1) through the summary of the literature, the conclusion of relevant research is sorted out. (2) through the theory of endogenous economic growth, the core-edge theory, Based on the theory of local market effect and cyclic cumulative causality effect, the theory of spatial spillover effect of information infrastructure on China's economic growth begins with the development of information infrastructure and economic growth. The relevance of information infrastructure and economic growth is analyzed intuitively, and the spatial dependence of economic growth is tested by spatial exploratory data analysis technology. In order to verify the rationality of incorporating spatial effect, we give the estimation results of spatial econometric model on the basis of empirical analysis. The estimation results of traditional OLS regression are also listed. In addition, two estimation methods and two caliber economic openness indexes are used in the process of model estimation. The results show that the estimation result of traditional econometric model is no longer valid. The spatial econometric model estimates the spatial spillover effect of economic growth in China, which indicates that the spillover effect of economic growth does exist. At the same time, the information infrastructure plays a significant role in promoting economic growth, and there is no significant difference between the two methods and the alternative estimates of the two caliber indicators. This paper verifies the effect of information infrastructure on economic growth and the robustness of the estimation result of spillover effect of economic growth. According to the above induction and analysis, we give corresponding policy recommendations on the basic conclusions of this paper.
【学位授予单位】：西北师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F49;F49;F224

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