环渤海经济圈金融业效率与经济发展的耦合关系研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 04:39

本文关键词：环渤海经济圈金融业效率与经济发展的耦合关系研究　出处：《中国海洋大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：金融业效率对经济发展有重要影响。金融效率的高低决定着金融发挥作用的成本和作用力的强弱，从而在很大程度上决定着整个经济效率的高低，而金融业效率与经济发展之间的关系需要从理论和实证上分析验证。论文以环渤海经济圈为研究对象，重点分析区域金融业效率与经济发展的耦合关系。论文以经典的金融发展理论为基础，结合系统耦合关系理论成立的条件，研究环渤海经济圈金融业效率与经济发展之间的具体关系。实证上采用DEA方法测度金融业效率水平，，并选取代表性指标和样本数据，对环渤海经济圈金融业效率和经济发展之间的关系进行协整检验和Granger因果检验，验证二者之间是否存在长期稳定的均衡关系。在实证检验的基础上建立耦合关系模型，测度环渤海经济圈金融业效率与经济发展的协调发展关系。论文首先阐述了研究背景、目的，回顾了国内外金融与经济发展关系的研究历程，并进行了简单评述，指出了本文的研究意义。接着指明了研究金融业效率与经济发展关系的理论基础，对金融发展理论、金融业效率理论和耦合理论做了系统介绍，界定了论文分析的金融业效率的具体概念，并分析了金融业效率与经济发展耦合关系的存在性。其次，对环渤海经济圈金融业效率状况和经济发展状况进行分析。结合实际行业发展数据，对环渤海经济圈证券、银行、保险的发展状况进行了分析，运用DEA方法对本地区的金融业效率进行了测度，得出在环渤海经济圈内，金融业效率呈现上升趋势。同时详细归纳了本地区三大产业的发展状况，并做了具体分析。第三，对环渤海经济圈金融业效率与经济发展的关系进行了实证检验，验证二者耦合关系的存在性。选取金融业效率和经济发展的相关指标，运用实际数据做了实证检验和因果分析。协整检验的结果表明金融业效率与区域经济展之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系。格兰杰因果关系检验的结果表明金融业效率与区域经济发展之间存在明显的因果关系。第四，论文以实证检验的结果为基础，选择耦合评价指标体系建立了耦合模型，测度了环渤海经济圈金融业效率和经济发展的协调发展关系。实证结果表明金融业效率与区域经济发展之间的协调程度随着时间的推移逐步提高，目前处于良好协调发展阶段，受到外力的影响协调发展关系会出现波动，但是能恢复到良好协调发展状态。最后，根据环渤海经济圈金融业效率和经济发展状况与实证分析的结果，提出促进环渤海经济圈经济发展和金融业效率提高的建议，以及促进二者协调发展的政策建议。
[Abstract]:The efficiency of the financial sector has an important effect on the economic development. The financial efficiency determines the strength of the financial costs and the role, which largely determines the level of efficiency of the economy, and the relation between the efficiency and economic development of the financial industry needs analysis from the theoretical and empirical analysis. Based on the Bohai economic circle as the research object, focusing on analysis of coupling relationship of regional financial efficiency and economic development.
This paper is based on the classical theory of financial development, combined with the theory of coupling relationship between the conditions, research the relationship between the economic circle of Bohai financial industry efficiency and economic development. The empirical DEA method to measure the efficiency of the financial sector, and selecting the representative index and sample data, cointegration test and Granger causality test on the relationship between the economic circle of Bohai financial industry efficiency and economic development, whether there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between the two. Validation establishes coupling model on the basis of empirical research, the Bohai measure ring coordinated development between economic development and the efficiency of financial circles.
This paper first describes the research background, purpose, reviews the research process of the relationship between financial and economic development at home and abroad, and briefly, pointed out the significance of this study. Then pointed out the theoretical basis of the relationship between financial industry efficiency and economic development, financial development theory, financial efficiency theory and the coupling theory the paper introduces the concept of the specific analysis of the efficiency of the financial sector, and analyzes the existence of financial efficiency and economic development coupling relationship.
Secondly, the economic circle of Bohai financial industry efficiency and economic development were analyzed. Combined with the actual development of the industry data, the Bank of Bohai economic circle, the development status of the securities, insurance were analyzed using the DEA method on the regional financial industry efficiency test, obtained in the Bohai economic circle, the efficiency of the financial sector showed a rising trend. At the same time, sums up the development status of the region of the three major industries, and make a specific analysis.
Third, the relationship of the economic circle of Bohai financial industry efficiency and economic development empirically, existence of coupling relationship between the two. To verify the efficiency of the financial sector and related indicators of economic development, the use of actual data to do the empirical analysis of the test and causality. The cointegration test results show that there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship between financial efficiency and economic development. Grainger causality test results show a clear relationship between financial efficiency and regional economic development.
Fourth, the paper based on the empirical evaluation index system of selecting coupling coupling model is established, the coordinated development of the relationship between the measure of economic circle of Bohai financial industry efficiency and economic development. Empirical results show that the efficiency of the financial sector and regional economic development coordination degree with the passage of time gradually increased, at present stage in good coordination the development, by the coordinated development of the impact of external volatility, but can be restored to the good state of coordinated development.
Finally, according to the results of the financial efficiency and economic development in the Bohai rim economic circle and the results of empirical analysis, we put forward suggestions to promote the economic development of Bohai rim economic zone and improve the efficiency of the financial industry, and make policy recommendations to promote the coordinated development of the two circles.

【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F832.7

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