产业集群动态演化规律与地方政府政策

发布时间：2018-01-05 16:01

本文关键词：产业集群动态演化规律与地方政府政策　出处：《管理世界》2014年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文根据已有产业集群演化模型和产业升级路径理论,构建了一个产业集群动态演化三阶段模型,即集群发展早期处于数量扩张期,在数量扩张期鼎盛阶段,集群可能陷入内生质量危机;若能克服质量危机,集群将演化到质量提升期;在质量提升期末期,宏观经济的发展逐渐影响着区域间相对比较优势,产业集群较发达的区域将面临要素成本不断上涨的压力,生产环节的利润将日益微薄;此时,若产业集群能够将利润重心从生产环节升级到技术研发、品牌创新与市场开拓环节,则集群将向微笑曲线的两端演化,即集群演进到研发与品牌创新期。但是,上述三阶段演化模型中,不同阶段之间的演进并非自然而然发生的事情,需要地方政府提供具有集群外部性的公共产品。本文不仅从理论上阐述了上述演化规律,而且运用案例和实地调研数据对上述模型进行了验证。
[Abstract]:Based on the existing industrial cluster evolution model and industrial upgrading path theory, this paper constructs a three-stage dynamic evolution model of industrial cluster, that is, the cluster development is in the early period of quantitative expansion, in the peak stage of the expansion period. The cluster may fall into an endogenous quality crisis; If the quality crisis can be overcome, the cluster will evolve to the stage of quality improvement. At the end of the period of quality improvement, the development of macro-economy is gradually affecting the comparative advantage among regions. The more developed regions of industrial clusters will face the pressure of rising factor costs, and the profits of the production links will be increasingly meagre. At this point, if the industrial cluster can upgrade the profit center from production to technology research and development, brand innovation and market development, then the cluster will evolve to both ends of the smile curve. That is, the cluster evolves to the stage of R & D and brand innovation. However, in the above three-stage evolution model, the evolution between different stages is not a natural thing. It is necessary for local governments to provide public goods with cluster externalities. This paper not only expounds the above evolution law theoretically, but also verifies the above model by case study and field investigation data.
【作者单位】：浙江大学管理学院、中国农村发展研究院;北京大学国家发展研究院;浙江大学中国农村发展研究院;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(71373229;71350002) 浙江省自然科学基金(LY13G030004)成果之一
【分类号】：F124
【正文快照】： 一、引言在经历了30多年的经济高速增长后,中国总体上已经进入中等收入国家行列。中国能否在未来几十年内摆脱中等收入陷阱从而进入高收入国家行列,是未来面临的关键问题之一。影响一个经济体持续增长的因素很多,但是,能否实现产业的持续升级是其中至关重要的一点(林毅夫,2012

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