内蒙古财政支出对经济增长影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-01-06 13:10

本文关键词：内蒙古财政支出对经济增长影响的实证研究　出处：《内蒙古财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：众所周知，经济基础决定上层建筑，一个地区经济的增长是实现整个地区全面发展的命脉，故政府通常会借用宏观调控措施以保证经济实现又好又快发展。而财政支出政策正是政府调控宏观经济的有利政策工具之一。在财政支出方面，政府会分别通过调控其规模与结构这两个不同侧重，来实现对经济的调控功能。实践证明，财政支出政策己成为内蒙古政府调控经济的一种有效手段。而科学定量地分析掌握财政支出政策的作用效果，正是制定适宜财政政策的有力保证。对于内蒙古来说，深入分析其财政支出对其经济增长的影响，同样有利于内蒙古政府宏观调控功能的充分实现，不仅具有理论意义，更加具有现实意义。本文在公共产品理论、市场失灵理论、需求约束型增长理论以及内生增长理论的重要基础之上，从财政支出规模及结构两方面，展开对内蒙古财政支出影响地区经济增长的研究。并借助柯布道格拉斯生产函数，构建了新的分别包含财政支出总量及财政支出各结构指标的函数模型。并且,本文采用统计学中得到广泛认可的协整分析法、向量自回归模型、脉冲响应及方差分析等科学方法，对1978-2010年的统计数据进行了实证研究，具有说服力。值得一提的是，本文借鉴使用了新的分类方法，以应对新旧财政支出分类统计口径出入问题，按照支出功能对内蒙古财政支出做适当的归类合并，并在此基础上深入分析了自1978年以来内蒙古财政支出对经济增长影响的实证性研究，这在对内蒙古的相关研究中为首例，也希望对全国研究提供参考。分析结果显示内蒙古现行财政支出规模偏大，经济建设支出对经济增长作用甚微，而农林水事务、国家管理支出及社会性支出均对内蒙古经济建设产生正效应。本文最后借助定量分析结果，，对内蒙古现行的财政政策进行了评价，并提出相关的对策建议。
[Abstract]:As everyone knows, the economic base determines the superstructure, a regional economic growth is the lifeblood of all-round development of the whole region, so the government will usually use macro-control measures to ensure to achieve sound and rapid economic development. Financial expenditure policy is one of the favorable policy tools of government macroeconomic control. In terms of financial expenditure, the government will respectively by the regulation of the scale and structure of the two different emphases, to realize the control function of the economy. Practice shows that the fiscal expenditure policy has become an effective means to regulate the economy. The government of Inner Mongolia and the scientific quantitative analysis of master effect of fiscal expenditure policy, it is a powerful guarantee to establish appropriate fiscal policy. For Inner Mongolia, a deep analysis of the influence of the financial expenditure on economic growth, also conducive to the full realization of Inner Mongolia government macro-control function, not only has It is of theoretical significance and more realistic.
In this paper, the theory of public goods, market failure theory, based on an important demand constrained growth theory and endogenous growth theory, from two aspects of fiscal expenditure scale and structure, study on the regional economic growth of Inner Mongolia fiscal expenditure. And with the Cobb Douglas production function, construct the function model includes the total financial expenditure and the fiscal expenditure structure index. This paper uses new and widely recognized by the cointegration analysis method in statistics, vector auto regression model, impulse response and variance analysis and other scientific methods of 1978-2010 statistical data for the empirical research, convincing. It is worth mentioning that this paper uses classification the new method to deal with the new classification of fiscal expenditure statistics and problems, according to the expenditure function of fiscal expenditure in Inner Mongolia do merged into the appropriate, and then Based on in-depth analysis, the empirical research on the impact of Inner Mongolia's fiscal expenditure on economic growth has been made in-depth since 1978. This is the first case in Inner Mongolia's related research, and it also hopes to provide a reference for national research.
The results show that Inner Mongolia fiscal expenditure scale is too large, little economic construction expenditure effect on economic growth, while the national forestry and water affairs, management expenses and social expenditure have positive effect on the economic development of Inner Mongolia. Finally, by means of quantitative analysis results of Inner Mongolia's current fiscal policy is evaluated, and puts forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions.

【学位授予单位】：内蒙古财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F812.7;F224

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