辽宁省经济增长的就业弹性分析
发布时间:2018-01-07 08:17
本文关键词:辽宁省经济增长的就业弹性分析 出处:《辽宁大学》2013年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:经济增长与充分就业都是宏观经济发展所追求的重要目标。从理论上讲,发达地区和欠发达地区的经济发展中,经济增长与就业增长两者之间基本上符合正比例关系。然而,在现实的经济发展过程中,经常由于经济结构和发展模式等方面存在的差异,从而改变了经济发展与就业增长之间的交互关系。辽宁省经济和就业增长之间的关系研究对辽宁省的经济发展至关重要。在过往的20多年,尽管辽宁省经济始终保持快速发展,但面临的就业问题日益突出,并且出现了经济增长高和就业增长低的并存现象。 本文试图对1991-2011年辽宁省经济增长的就业弹性进行研究。本文首先概括了关于经济增长和就业之间关系的重要理论,发现国内外大多数学者主要关注于怎样利用劳动力来促进经济增长,也就是说在过去的研究中经济增长更被关注,而就业往往被忽略。本文着眼于辽宁省在过去20年间经济快速发展,但就业水平并没有得到显著提高的现实情况,试图研究辽宁省经济增长对就业的影响,并力求寻找一种经济增长方式能够促进就业的增长。论文中采用定义法计算了辽宁省从1991年到2011年间的就业弹性,对影响就业弹性的主要因素,即GDP及就业人数,进行了全面的模型检验,与此同时,利用回归分析方法预测两种因素的相互关系,从而得出辽宁省的总体就业弹性。最后,,本文剖析了影响辽宁省总体就业的主要因素,其中包括技术进步,产业结构的演变,国有企业的改革,以及隐形失业等方面,提出了解决以上问题的相应对策。
[Abstract]:Economic growth and full employment is an important goal of macro economic development. In theory, developed areas and less developed areas of economic development, economic growth and employment growth between the two basically coincides with the proportion. However, in the process of real economic development, often because of differences in economic structure and the mode of development, so as to change the interaction relationship between economic development and employment growth in Liaoning province. Research on the relationship between economic growth and employment is very important for the economic development of Liaoning province. In the past 20 years, as Liaoning province's economy has maintained rapid development, but the employment problems have become increasingly prominent, and the emergence of economic high growth and low employment growth phenomenon.
This paper attempts to study 1991-2011 years of economic growth in Liaoning province employment elasticity. This paper generalizes the important theory about the relationship between economic growth and employment, found that most scholars at home and abroad mainly focus on how to use the labor force to promote economic growth, that is to say in the past research of economic growth is concerned, while employment has been ignore. This article focuses on Liaoning Province in the past 20 years of rapid economic development, but the level of employment has not been significantly improved the reality of the situation, to study the effect of Liaoning's economic growth on employment, and tried to find a way of economic growth can promote employment growth. The calculation of Liaoning province from 1991 to 2011 years of employment elasticity the definition of law in this paper, the main factors of influencing the employment elasticity, GDP and employment, the model of comprehensive inspection, at the same time, Li Prediction of the interaction between two factors by means of regression analysis, so that the overall employment elasticity of Liaoning province. Finally, this paper analyzes the main factors influencing Liaoning province overall employment, including technological progress, industrial structure evolution, the reform of state-owned enterprises, and hidden unemployment, puts forward corresponding measures to solve the above problems.
【学位授予单位】:辽宁大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F127;F249.27
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