基于多国面板数据对通货膨胀率和经济增长率关系的探究

发布时间：2018-01-07 15:25

本文关键词：基于多国面板数据对通货膨胀率和经济增长率关系的探究　出处：《湖南大学学报(社会科学版)》2014年04期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：稳增长和低通胀的结合是大多数国家宏观经济政策的核心目标,这二者的关系自然成为经济学家兴趣和争论的焦点。尽管相关的研究和争论仍在继续,但并没有产生令人们广泛信服的结论。实际上,高通胀对经济增长率的影响还有一条重要的途径:高通胀往往伴随着更高的波动性,在理性预期的非完全性、价格粘性的市场条件下,通胀率的高波动性使准确预期更困难,因而永久性地改变了人们的消费、储蓄、投资等经济行为,降低了资本存量,进而损害了经济增长率。总而言之,在现实经济是非完全市场的条件下,并非高通胀本身而是随之而来的高波动性损害了经济增长。
[Abstract]:The combination of stable growth and low inflation is a central objective of macroeconomic policy in most countries, and the relationship between them has naturally become the focus of interest and debate among economists, although relevant studies and debates continue. In fact, the impact of high inflation on economic growth has an important path: high inflation tends to be accompanied by higher volatility in the imperfections of rational expectations. Under the market conditions of price stickiness, the high volatility of inflation makes it more difficult to predict accurately, thus permanently changing the economic behavior of people, such as consumption, saving and investment, and reducing the stock of capital. All in all, in a real economy with incomplete markets, it is not high inflation per se but the accompanying high volatility that undermines growth.
【作者单位】：中国人民大学经济学院;
【分类号】：F822.5;F124
【正文快照】： 一文献综述以往的学者在研究通货膨胀率与经济增长率二者关系时所采用的主要方法是选取某个国家或某些国家(或地区)的经济增长率及价格变动趋势对二者的关系进行实证研究,而非一般的逻辑推理与范畴演绎。因此由于研究选取的国家不同、时间长短不同以及资料的来源和可靠性不

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