低碳视角下中国农业环境效率的测算与分析——基于非期望产出的SBM模型

发布时间：2018-01-08 18:15

本文关键词：低碳视角下中国农业环境效率的测算与分析——基于非期望产出的SBM模型　出处：《中国农村观察》2014年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于非期望产出(碳排放)的SBM模型,本文对2002~2012年中国农业环境效率进行了测算和无效率来源的分解,并对中国三大区域环境效率的影响因素进行Tobit回归,最后对全国农业生产的碳减排潜力与潜在规模进行了比较分析。研究结果表明,东部地区的农业环境效率总体较高,宁夏、山西、云南等7个省(区)的农业环境效率较低;各地区的农业环境效率主要受生产特征、技术条件和社会结构等因素的影响,这些因素在不同地区对农业环境效率的影响程度存在一定差异;山东、江苏、浙江等省农业生产的碳减排效果非常明显,全国农业碳排放的中心已由东部转移到中部,因此,中部地区农业生产碳减排的潜在规模较大,尤其是河南、安徽、河北等省,需要通过建立长期的低碳农业发展机制来实现农业生产的低碳转型。
[Abstract]:Non expected output (carbon emissions) based on SBM model, this paper calculates the decomposition rate and invalid sources on China agricultural environmental efficiency 2002~2012, and influence on the China three regional environmental efficiency factors were analyzed by Tobit regression, finally the carbon emission reduction potential of the agricultural production and the potential scale of research are compared and analyzed. The results show that the eastern region of the agricultural environmental efficiency is generally high, Ningxia, Shanxi, Yunnan and other 7 provinces (regions) of the agricultural environmental efficiency is low; the agricultural production efficiency is mainly affected by environmental factors such as technical characteristics, influence the structure and social conditions, the degree of impact on the efficiency of the agricultural environment there are some differences between these the factors in different regions; Shandong, Jiangsu, Zhejiang Province agricultural production carbon emission reduction effect is very obvious, the agricultural carbon emission center has transfer from the east to the middle, therefore, the central region agriculture The potential scale of carbon emission reduction is large. Especially in Henan, Anhui, Hebei and other provinces, we need to establish long-term low-carbon agriculture development mechanism to achieve low-carbon transformation of agricultural production.

【作者单位】：中国社会科学院农村发展研究所;湖南农业大学商学院;湖南农业大学经济学院;
【基金】：湖南省科技厅计划项目“湖南武陵山片区农业现代化与新型城镇化的研究”(编号:2014NK3090)的成果之一
【分类号】：F124.5;F323.22
【正文快照】： 一、引言改革开放30多年来,中国农业发展取得了粮食增产、农民增收的巨大成就,2013年的粮食总产量首次突破6亿吨,实现了‘‘十连增”’农民收入也有持续稳定增长。在取得这些成就的同时,中国农业发展也面临人口、耕地、环境等方面的严峻挑战,农业生产中化肥、农药、农业机械等

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