政府规模与经济周期波动——基于公共就业新视角

发布时间：2018-01-15 12:11

本文关键词：政府规模与经济周期波动——基于公共就业新视角　出处：《经济与管理研究》2014年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：在关于政府规模与经济周期波动关系的研究中,公共收入规模和公共支出规模被关注得颇多,公共就业规模作为衡量政府规模的重要指标之一却少有涉及。然而,公共就业不仅是影响公共收支的重要因素,而且对劳动力市场具有直接和间接作用,因此考察公共就业规模与经济周期波动的关系是对考察政府规模经济稳定效应的必要补充。本文从全国经济周期波动和省份经济周期波动两个层面考察公共就业规模的影响,研究表明,公共就业有利于省份经济稳定,但对全国经济稳定的作用并不显著,这主要在于省份经济周期波动与全国经济周期波动间的差异性以及地方政府机构改革与中央政府机构改革间的时滞性。
[Abstract]:In the research on the relationship between the scale of government and the fluctuation of economic cycle, the scale of public revenue and the scale of public expenditure have been paid much attention to. However, public employment is not only an important factor affecting public revenue and expenditure, but also has direct and indirect effects on the labor market. Therefore, the study of the relationship between the scale of public employment and the fluctuation of economic cycle is a necessary supplement to the study of the stabilizing effect of government scale economy. This paper examines public employment from two aspects: the fluctuation of national economic cycle and the fluctuation of economic cycle of provinces. The impact of scale. The research shows that the public employment is beneficial to the economic stability of the provinces, but the effect on the national economic stability is not significant. This mainly lies in the difference between the provincial economic cycle fluctuation and the national economic cycle fluctuation, and the lag between the local government organization reform and the central government organization reform.
【作者单位】：对外经济贸易大学国际经济贸易学院;对外经济贸易大学统计学院;
【基金】：教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目“中国式财政分权与地方政府财政行为的周期性悖论研究”(13YJC790217) 对外经济贸易大学校级科研课题研究项目“地方政府规模与经济周期波动”(12QD04) 对外经济贸易大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(13QD09)
【分类号】：D630;F124.8
【正文快照】： 一、引言及相关研究政府规模是否具有“自动稳定器”功能一直是学术界关注的重点问题。衡量政府规模大小有三个主要指标——公共收入、公共支出和公共就业人数,其中前两者与经济周期波动的研究文献比较多见。①伯恩斯(Burns,1960)认为在美国,农场经济向工业经济的转变致使政府

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