中国城镇居民服务消费需求弹性研究——基于QUAIDS模型的分析

发布时间：2018-01-20 05:32

本文关键词： 服务消费近似理想需求系统支出弹性价格弹性　出处：《财贸经济》2014年05期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：随着收入的上涨,我国城镇居民家庭的消费水平日益提高,消费结构不断改善。本文通过运用非线性近似完美需求系统(QUAIDS模型)模拟中国城镇居民家庭服务消费需求弹性特征。实证结果表明,以"交通、通信、医疗保健、文化娱乐"为代表的服务消费富于弹性,而以"家庭服务、教育、居住"为代表的服务消费缺乏弹性。这说明,随着收入水平的提高,城镇居民家庭在交通、通信、医疗保健和文化娱乐领域的支出会明显增加。从区域比较来看,我国东中西三大区域的服务消费支出弹性存在一定差异,并且这种差异主要体现在"家庭服务、教育和居住"领域。此外,价格是影响城镇居民服务消费的重要因素,特别是家庭服务和医疗保健服务类支出的价格敏感性最强。结合我国城镇居民服务消费需求特点与变动趋势,建议未来扩大内需、提高居民消费水平的重点应从增加购买力、完善社会保障、改善消费环境等方面来着手。
[Abstract]:As incomes rise, China urban household consumption level increasing, consumption structure is constantly improving. By using nonlinear approximate perfect demand system (QUAIDS model) to simulate Chinese family service demand elasticity of consumption of urban residents. The empirical results show that the traffic, communication, health care, consumer culture and entertainment as the representative of the the service is elastic, and with "family services, education, living consumption as the representative of" service lack of flexibility. This shows that with the improvement of income level, urban households in transportation, communications, health care and entertainment spending will be significantly increased. From the regional perspective, there are some differences between the service consumption expenditure elasticity in the three regions, and the difference is mainly reflected in the "family services, education and living areas. In addition, the price is the impact of urban residents service consumption important The factors, especially the price of the most sensitive family services and health care expenditures. Combined with China's trend of demand of urban residents service consumption characteristics and changes, suggestions for future expansion of domestic demand, improve the residents' consumption level should focus on increasing purchasing power, improve social security, improve the consumption environment and other aspects to begin.

【作者单位】：中国社会科学院财经战略研究院;中国科学院地理科学与资源研究所;
【基金】：国家社科基金“新型城镇化背景下扩大服务消费制度联动研究”(13CJL046) 国家自然基金“服务消费增长的动力机制及实证研究”(71373212)
【分类号】：F126.1;F224
【正文快照】： 一、引言及文献综述党的十八大报告明确提出,以改善需求结构、优化产业结构、促进区域协调发展、推进城镇化为重点,着力解决制约经济持续、健康发展的重大结构性问题。所谓需求结构改善,一方面是指提升消费占经济总量的比重,另一方面是指区域和城乡结构差异逐步缩小。随着城乡

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