中国国防支出与经济增长的关系研究

发布时间：2018-02-02 15:52

本文关键词： 国防支出经济增长脉冲效应　出处：《云南财经大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：近几年来，，国际安全领域的界线变得模糊不清，出现了更为复杂国际的局面。中国面对动荡不安的国际安全局势，国防建设显得尤为必要。我国是目前世界上被有核弹国家包围最多的国家，同时我国又是与有核弹国家有领土争议最多的国家。如何在保障国家安全的基础上，最大化的促进经济的持续发展，使国防支出和经济更加协调的发展，是我国面临的重大课题。论文从中国的国情出发，研究我国从1978年到2010年国防支出与经济增长之间的关系，进一步拓展到私人部门和公共部门投资与国防支出的关系。论文分别从定性和定量两个视角进行研究。在定性研究方面，论文主要根据经济学的基本原理费德尔两部门模型并结合中国的实际情况，来分析国防支出和经济增长之间的相互影响情况；在定量研究方面，本文运向量回归模型和误差修正模型两种方法对国防支出和经济增长的各种影响进行分析，通过研究发现中国从1978~2010年的国防支出不论对GDP还是对私人部门和公共部门投资都会产生正向促进效应，并没有产生理论推测的“挤出效应”。最后，根据研究的结果，有针对性提出一些增加中国国防支出促进经济发展和建设的对策和建议。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the boundaries of international security have become blurred and the international situation has become more complex. China is facing a volatile international security situation. National defense construction is particularly necessary. China is currently the most surrounded by nuclear bomb countries in the world, and at the same time, China has the most territorial disputes with nuclear bomb countries. How to ensure national security on the basis of. It is an important task for our country to maximize the sustainable development of economy and make the national defense expenditure and economy more harmonious. This paper studies the relationship between national defense expenditure and economic growth from 1978 to 2010 from the point of view of China's national conditions. Further expand the relationship between private sector and public sector investment and defense expenditure. According to the basic principle of economics, the paper analyzes the interaction between defense expenditure and economic growth according to the Fedell two-sector model and the actual situation of China. In quantitative research, this paper analyzes the effects of defense expenditure and economic growth by two methods: vector regression model and error correction model. It is found that China's defense expenditure from 1978 to 2010 will have a positive effect on both GDP and investment in the private and public sectors. Finally, according to the results of the research, some countermeasures and suggestions for increasing China's defense expenditure to promote economic development and construction are put forward.
【学位授予单位】：云南财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：E25;F124.1

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