兵团城镇化与工业化协调发展研究

发布时间：2018-02-09 17:40

本文关键词： 城镇化与工业化协调度模型预测模型新疆生产建设兵团　出处：《石河子大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：工业化、城镇化是一个社会必经的发展过程，两者共同构成经济社会发展的主旋律，分别反映了产业结构和空间结构的变化，存在着交互作用的互动发展关系，两者的协调发展是社会经济发展的必然要求，是全面建设小康社会的重要任务，同时也是深入贯彻科学发展观的重要内容。新疆正处于跨越式大发展阶段，而兵团作为新疆自治区的重要组成部分，是党政军企合一的特殊组织，担负着国家赋予的屯垦戍边的光荣任务，着力推进兵团城镇化与工业化的协调发展是提高兵团综合经济实力的重要内容，是解决兵团工业发展乏力、结构不合理、城镇布局分散、城镇化动力不足等一系列问题的重要途径，更是推动兵团乃至整个新疆社会经济发展水平的进一步提高的重要动力，同时对于维护边疆社会稳定也有着重要意义。本研究在对城镇化和工业化的内涵和特征进行了较为全面概括的基础上，分析了两者之间的互动关系作用机理，回顾了兵团城镇化与工业化的进程和发展现状，合理选取出反映兵团城镇化和工业化协调发展的具体评价指标，并借助城镇化与工业化协调发展评价及预测函数模型，，分析了2005-2010年兵团整体城镇化与工业化的协调发展状况及2010年兵团各师城镇化与工业化的协调发展状况，在此基础上，对“十二五”期间城镇化与工业化的协调发展程度进行了预测。进而结合兵团自身特点对影响兵团城镇化与工业化协调发展的各种因素进行了分析，并提出了一系列合理改进兵团城镇化和工业化协调发展关系的对策建议。本文的主要结论为：第一，2005-2010年兵团城镇化与工业化整体协同发展水平及协调度均呈现上升的趋势，但依旧处于较低的层次和协调等级；初始阶段，城镇化滞后于工业化，随后城乡社会形态发生重大转变，大量农村人口向城镇转移，城镇化快速发展，协调类型由城镇化滞后型转化为工业化滞后型。第二，就兵团各师来看：2010年第八师的城镇化与工业化协调发展程度相对较高，处于较协调状态，第三师、第五师、第九师、第十四师的协调发展程度最低，处于不协调状态，其余九个师均处于弱协调状态。第三，依据测算出的兵团2005-2010年的城镇化与工业化发展协调度动态评价结果，对“十二五”期间兵团城镇化与工业化的协调发展状况进行了预测，结果表明两系统的协调程度在逐渐改善，但改善速度相对较缓，到“十二五”末两系统仅能达到较协调的等级状态。
[Abstract]:Industrialization and urbanization are the necessary development process of a society. Together, they constitute the main melody of economic and social development, which reflect the changes of industrial structure and spatial structure respectively, and have interactive and interactive development relations. The coordinated development of the two is the inevitable requirement of the social and economic development, the important task of building a well-off society in an all-round way, and the important content of carrying out the scientific concept of development in depth. As an important part of the Xinjiang Autonomous region, the Corps is a special organization for the integration of the party, government, and military enterprises, and shoulders the glorious task entrusted by the state to open up land and defend the border. To promote the coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization of the Corps is an important part of improving the comprehensive economic strength of the Corps. It is also a solution to the lack of industrial development, unreasonable structure, and scattered urban distribution in the Corps. A series of important ways such as insufficient power of urbanization and so on are also the important driving forces to promote the further improvement of the level of social and economic development of the Corps and even the whole Xinjiang. At the same time it is also of great significance to maintain the social stability of the frontier areas. On the basis of a comprehensive summary of the connotation and characteristics of urbanization and industrialization, this study analyzes the mechanism of interaction between the two, and reviews the process and development status of urbanization and industrialization in Bingtuan. Reasonable selection of specific evaluation indicators reflecting the coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization of the Corps, and with the aid of the evaluation and prediction function model of coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization, This paper analyzes the coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization in the whole of the Corps from 2005 to 2010 and the coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization in the divisions of the Corps in 2010. This paper forecasts the coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization during the 12th Five-Year Plan period, and then analyzes the factors that affect the coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization in Bingtuan in light of its own characteristics. A series of countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to improve the relationship between urbanization and industrialization. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: first, from 2005 to 2010, the overall coordinated development level and coordination degree of urbanization and industrialization of Bingtuan showed an upward trend, but it is still at a lower level and coordination level, while urbanization lags behind industrialization in the initial stage. Subsequently, major changes took place in the social formation of urban and rural areas, a large number of rural population moved to cities and towns, urbanization developed rapidly, and the coordinated type changed from the lagging type of urbanization to the lagging type of industrialization. Second, In 2010, the level of coordinated development between urbanization and industrialization of the 8th divisions was relatively high and in a more coordinated state. The third, 5th, 9th and 14th divisions had the lowest degree of coordinated development and were in an uncoordinated state. The other nine divisions are in a weak coordination state. Thirdly, based on the calculated dynamic evaluation results of the coordination degree of urbanization and industrialization development between 2005 and 2010, the coordinated development of urbanization and industrialization during the 12th Five-Year Plan period is forecasted. The results show that the degree of coordination between the two systems is improving gradually, but the speed of improvement is relatively slow. By the end of the 12th Five-Year Plan, the two systems can only reach a more coordinated level.
【学位授予单位】：石河子大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127

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