东北亚主导的东亚经济一体化：可行性与路径

发布时间：2018-02-28 04:14

本文关键词： 东北亚区域经济一体化主导权东亚　出处：《沈阳理工大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在世界经济发展的格局中，东亚是经济增长最为迅速和最具活力的地区之一。近些年来，其区域经济一体化得到了一定程度的发展。但是，与欧洲和北美地区的区域合作相比，东亚地区的经济一体化进展缓慢。东亚经济一体化如此缓慢的原因有很多，其中的关键原因就是东亚地区大国主导权的缺失。目前，在东亚经济一体化中，东盟通过“10+3”机制、三个“10+1”机制，以及东盟地区论坛和东亚峰会等形式发挥主导作用。但是，东盟整体实力弱小的特点决定了东盟主导的东亚经济一体化是不稳定的，这种主导作用的发挥只是暂时的。欧洲和北美地区合作的成功经验向世人表明，一个或者多个核心大国的领导是区域经济一体化顺利发展的关键。中日韩三国作为东亚地区实力雄厚的大国，理应顺应发展潮流，在东亚的经济一体化中发挥主导作用。本文在区域经济合作主导权的有关理论和实践的基础上，首先分析目前东亚经济一体化中主导权的现状以及其存在的原因和弊端；进而深入分析东北亚中日韩三国主导东亚经济一体化的可行性，并最终对东北亚在东亚经济一体化中发挥主导作用的路径进行探索。整篇论文共五章，其中第一章是绪论，介绍本选题的研究背景和意义，对本文的研究对象进行界定，并分析相关课题的国内外研究现状，介绍主要内容和研究方法以及本文的创新点。第二章介绍区域合作主导权的相关理论和经验，分为两节。第一节介绍理论基础，，区域合作主导权的相关理论即霸权稳定论，分析说明大国主导权对一个地区经济一体化进程的重要性。第二节介绍现实中关于大国主导的两个成功的一体化组织，即欧盟和北美自由贸易区。欧盟是在法德主导的基础上建立发展起来的，而美国则主导了北美自由贸易区的发展。从而可知大国在区域经济一体化中发挥的重要作用。第三章阐述东亚经济一体化进程中的主导权现状以及历史沿革，即当前在东亚经济一体化进程中，东盟发挥着主导作用，以及这种现状形成的历史原因。第四章是本文的重点部分，主要分析东北亚主导东亚经济一体化的可行性，首先分析当前东盟机制存在的缺陷，其次分析东北亚间的国家关系以及东北亚地区理应获得主导权的自身条件，主要是指综合国力。这些条件包括：其一是硬实力方面，即将东北亚与东盟的经济实力进行对比分析，包括人口、国土面积、GDP、货物贸易总额以及FDI的流入量等进行对比。其二是软实力方面，即将文化活力和政府的政治影响力等方面进行对比。最后得出从长期来看，东北亚能够主导东亚经济一体化的结论。第五章提出东北亚地区获得主导权的路径，即中日韩三国应加强沟通，摒弃相互间的猜忌，搁置争议，增强政治互信，为了区域内经济的发展，淡化矛盾，做出适当让步。最后是文章结论。
[Abstract]:In the pattern of world economic development, East Asia is one of the regions with the fastest and most dynamic economic growth. In recent years, its regional economic integration has developed to a certain extent. However, compared with the regional cooperation in Europe and North America, There are many reasons for the slow economic integration in East Asia, the key of which is the lack of dominant power in East Asia. At present, ASEAN plays a leading role in East Asian economic integration through the "103" mechanism, the three "10 1" mechanisms, the ASEAN Regional Forum and the East Asia Summit. The weak overall strength of ASEAN determines that the economic integration of East Asia dominated by ASEAN is unstable, and the exertion of this leading role is only temporary. The successful experience of cooperation between Europe and North America has shown the world that the leadership of one or more core powers is the key to the smooth development of regional economic integration. We should follow the trend of development and play a leading role in the economic integration of East Asia. First of all, it analyzes the present situation of the dominant power in East Asian economic integration, the reasons and disadvantages of its existence, and then deeply analyzes the feasibility of East Asian economic integration dominated by China, Japan and South Korea in Northeast Asia. Finally, the path of Northeast Asia playing a leading role in East Asian economic integration is explored. The first chapter is an introduction, which introduces the research background and significance of this topic, defines the research object of this paper, and analyzes the domestic and foreign research status of related topics. This paper introduces the main contents and research methods as well as the innovation of this paper. The second chapter introduces the theory and experience of regional cooperation dominance, which is divided into two sections. The second section introduces the two successful integration organizations in reality. That is, the European Union and the North American Free Trade area (NAFTA). The European Union was established and developed on the basis of France and Germany, while the United States led the development of the North American Free Trade area, which shows the important role played by the great powers in the regional economic integration. The third chapter expounds the present situation and historical evolution of the leading power in the process of East Asian economic integration, that is, ASEAN plays a leading role in the process of East Asian economic integration, and the historical reasons for the formation of this situation. Chapter 4th is the key part of this paper, mainly analyzes the feasibility of East Asian economic integration led by Northeast Asia, first of all, analyzes the shortcomings of the current ASEAN mechanism. Secondly, it analyzes the inter-state relations in Northeast Asia and the conditions in which the Northeast Asian region should be entitled to take the lead, mainly referring to the comprehensive national strength. These conditions include: first, the hard power. That is, comparing the economic strength of Northeast Asia and ASEAN, including population, land area, gross domestic product, total trade in goods, and the inflow of FDI. Second, soft power. Finally, the conclusion is drawn that Northeast Asia can dominate the economic integration of East Asia in the long run. Chapter 5th puts forward the way to gain the dominant power in Northeast Asia, that is, China, Japan and South Korea should strengthen communication, abandon mutual suspicion, shelve disputes, strengthen political mutual trust, and make appropriate concessions for regional economic development, desalination of contradictions and appropriate concessions. Finally, the conclusion of the article.
【学位授予单位】：沈阳理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F131

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