我国物流服务业集聚对区域经济增长的动态效应检验与分析——基于动态面板数据模型的实证

发布时间：2018-03-11 03:14

本文选题：物流服务业集聚　切入点：经济增长　出处：《中国流通经济》2014年07期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：物流服务业是生产性服务业重要的组成部分,物流服务业区域集聚是现代物流服务业发展水平提高的一种表现,有利于降低社会物流总成本,促进区域经济发展。文章利用2001~2012年我国大陆31个省域面板数据,采用动态面板数据模型对物流服务业集聚度对区域经济增长的动态效应进行估计和检验发现,在考虑相关控制变量基础上,物流服务业集聚水平对我国及东中西部三个区域经济增长的即期效应均为负,而我国东中西部区域分别在其集聚水平的1阶、2阶、3阶滞后期对区域经济增长产生了显著的正效应。这表明,我国不同区域物流服务业集聚水平对区域经济增长的效应不仅具有空间差异,而且存在动态的时间滞后效应,并且随着服务经济的深入以及物流服务专业化的进一步发展,物流服务业集聚水平将直接影响区域经济增长。为更好地促进区域经济增长,实现区域经济与物流服务业集聚协同发展,应充分重视物流服务业规模化、专业化与区域经济发展的协调性,合理规划并建立区域物流服务节点,保证其有效运营和管理;重视区域经济发展中对各项控制变量的依赖,特别是加大人力资本投资、研发投入、信息基础设施建设。
[Abstract]:Logistics service industry is an important part of producer service industry. The regional agglomeration of logistics service industry is an expression of the development level of modern logistics service industry, which is helpful to reduce the total cost of social logistics. Based on the panel data of 31 provinces in mainland China from 2001 to 2012, the dynamic panel data model is used to estimate and test the dynamic effect of the concentration degree of logistics service industry on regional economic growth. On the basis of considering the relevant control variables, the immediate effect of the concentration level of logistics service industry on the economic growth of our country and the three regions of east, west and west is all negative. However, the East, West and West regions in China have a significant positive effect on regional economic growth in the first order, second order and third order lag of their agglomeration level respectively, which indicates that there is a significant positive effect on the regional economic growth in the east, west and west regions. The effect of different regional logistics service agglomeration level on regional economic growth is not only spatial difference, but also dynamic time lag effect, and with the deepening of service economy and the further development of logistics service specialization. The agglomeration level of logistics service industry will directly affect the regional economic growth. In order to promote regional economic growth and realize the coordinated development of regional economy and logistics service industry, we should pay full attention to the scale of logistics service industry. Coordination of specialization and regional economic development, reasonable planning and establishment of regional logistics service node to ensure its effective operation and management, emphasis on the dependence of various control variables in regional economic development, especially increasing investment in human capital; Research and development investment, information infrastructure construction.
【作者单位】：福州大学;华侨大学;
【基金】：国家社会科学规划项目“我国物流业对制造业外溢效应的检验分析研究”(项目编号:12BJY069) 中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目“区域物流服务能力测度研究”(项目编号:12SKGC-QG02)的部分研究成果
【分类号】：F259.2;F127

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