新疆城乡居民消费增长与结构优化路径研究

发布时间：2018-03-14 19:30

本文选题：居民消费　切入点：消费结构　出处：《新疆大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着新疆经济发展，居民生活水平的提高，新疆城乡居民消费水平与消费结构对新疆产业结构的影响逐渐加重。城乡居民消费增长与消费结构优化能够加快经济发展方式向以需求拉动为主的方式转变。本文基于新疆城镇、农村居民1978－2010年间相关数据，借鉴凯恩斯消费函数理论和消费结构等相关理论，对新疆城乡居民消费水平增长与消费结构优化路径进行分析探讨。本文分为五大部分。首先，对城乡居民消费水平及差异与消费结构现状进行分析。分析结果表明，，新疆城乡居民消费水平低、提高慢，城乡居民消费差距大；城乡居民的消费结构逐渐由生存型消费向享受型消费转变，消费结构也在逐步完善。第二，通过分步提高城乡居民消费总量，提高居民消费率，对新疆城乡居民消费增长进行分析。再通过设置高、中、低三个层次的恩格尔系数，使新疆城乡居民人均消费支出结构得到优化。第三，以凯恩斯消费函数理论为出发点，运用协整与误差修正模型来考察新疆城乡居民消费支出与不同性质收入之间的长期均衡与短期波动关系。结果指出，城乡居民的当期消费支出与当期收入，永久性收入以及前期消费支出之间都存在显著的关系。再进一步分析城乡居民消费支出与其他主要影响因素之间的实证关系。城镇居民消费支出与城乡收入差距有着长期稳定关系，农村居民消费支出与城乡收入差距、农村居民收入差距之间存在着长期稳定关系。第四，由于新疆城乡居民各项消费项目支出内容统计口径不同，利用改进的扩展的线性支出系统，结合面板数据分析城镇居民基本消费与实际消费支出比值进行计量分析。利用扩展的线性支出系统，结合截面数据对农村居民边际消费倾向、居民消费收入弹性进行计量经济分析。分析结果为，新疆城乡居民各项消费支出与收入都呈同方向变。最后，分析针对新疆城乡居民不同的消费特征，有针对的提出扩大新疆城镇居民与农村居民消费水平，优化城乡居民消费结构的政策建议。
[Abstract]:With the development of Xinjiang's economy, the improvement of living standards, Xinjiang consumption level of urban and rural residents consumption structure and industrial structure effect of Xinjiang has gradually increased. The urban and rural residents' consumption growth and the consumption structure optimization to speed up the economic development mode to demand pull mode. Based on the Xinjiang urban and rural residents 1978-2010 years of relevant data, reference Keynes's theory of the theory of consumption function and consumption structure, to analyze the path optimization of Xinjiang urban and rural residents consumption growth and consumption structure.
This paper is divided into five parts. Firstly, the status of urban and rural residents' consumption level and consumption structure and the differences were analyzed. The analysis results show that the consumption level of urban and rural residents in Xinjiang is low, slow increase, consumption gap between urban and rural residents; consumption structure of urban and rural residents gradually changes from living consumption to the enjoyment of consumption, the consumption structure has been gradually perfected. Second, the total consumption of urban and rural residents to improve step by step, improve the consumption rate, analysis of Xinjiang urban and rural residents' consumption growth. Through setting up the high, low, the Engel coefficient of three levels, the Xinjiang urban and rural residents per capita consumption expenditure structure has been optimized. In third, Keynes consumption function theory as the starting point, using co integration and error correction model to study the long-term equilibrium and short-term fluctuations in the relationship between urban and rural residents consumption expenditure in Xinjiang and different income. It pointed out that urban and rural residents The current consumption expenditure and income, there is a significant relationship between the permanent income and consumption expenditure. The further empirical analysis on the relationship between consumption expenditure of urban and rural residents and other factors mainly affect the consumption expenditure of urban residents. And the income gap between urban and rural areas have a long-term and stable relationship between consumption expenditure of rural residents and the income gap between urban and rural, long-term stability the relationship between the income gap of rural residents. In fourth, due to the consumption expenditure project of Xinjiang urban and rural residents of different statistical linear expenditure system by using the improved extended, combined with panel data analysis of the basic consumption of urban residents and the actual consumption expenditure ratio was measured. By using the extended linear expenditure system, based on the cross-section data of the marginal propensity to consume rural residents, consumption income elasticity of econometric analysis. The analysis results for the urban and rural areas in Xinjiang Residents' consumption expenditure and income are changing in the same direction. Finally, based on the analysis of different consumption characteristics of urban and rural residents in Xinjiang, the policy recommendations for expanding consumption level of urban residents and rural residents in Xinjiang and optimizing the consumption structure of urban and rural residents are put forward.

【学位授予单位】：新疆大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F126.1

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