蒙古国国际贸易对经济增长的影响研究

发布时间：2018-03-17 23:11

本文选题：国际贸易　切入点：经济增长　出处：《山东大学》2013年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：国际贸易与经济增长的关系研究历来是经济学家研究的重点。在经济全球化的今天,研究经济增长离不开对国际贸易的研究。国际贸易对经济增长的影响越来越大,通过国际贸易合作,国与国之间以及地区与地区之间可以相互调剂余缺,发挥各自的比较优势,在世界范围内实现资源的优化配置,获得更多的经济利益,促进生产力的发展。因此发展国际贸易,对任何国家的国民经济而言都是十分重要的。蒙古国在1990年开始实行民主化,也就是从那个时候起开始逐渐的国际开放。在1997年,蒙古加入世界贸易组织。在2009年,蒙古国的贸易伙伴达到118个,蒙古的贸易发展迅速。同时蒙古经济在近年来也实现了快速的增长。目前,研究关于蒙古国国际贸易与经济增长的关系的文献非常少,研究大都只是简单的从统计数据的角度来分析蒙古国的国际贸易与经济增长之间的关系。本文主要定位于国际贸易与经济增长研究方向,以一个全新的视角来解读国际贸易。在此基础上本文从两方面提出创新,第一是研究对象的创新,研究了蒙古国国际贸易对国民经济的影响；第二点是方法上的创新,在实证检验的过程中应用了ADF检验的方法。本文对蒙古国的国际贸易和经济增长的关系进行了实证研究,在方法上使用了协整分析、Granger因果检验以及ADF检验等方法,有一定的创新性。本文首先对贸易促进经济增长的理论和文献进行了回顾。在理论的基础上,本文结合蒙古国贸易和经济发展的现状,利用蒙古国贸易数据对蒙古国贸易增长和经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。本文不仅对蒙古国的贸易数据进行了分析,还对蒙古国的贸易结构以及国际开放程度进行了研究。根据本文的实证研究结果,本文认为,蒙古国的国际贸易对蒙古国的经济增长有着很高的相关性,发展国际贸易能够促进蒙古国经济的增长。在此基础上,本文对产生这一效应的原因进行了分析,认为资源是蒙古国贸易和经济增长的主要驱动要素。最后本文根据研究结论对蒙古国贸易发展提出了政策建议。
[Abstract]:The study of the relationship between international trade and economic growth has always been the focus of economists. In today's economic globalization, the study of economic growth is inseparable from the study of international trade. Through international trade cooperation, countries as well as regions and regions can adjust each other's shortcomings, give play to their respective comparative advantages, optimize the allocation of resources in the world, and gain more economic benefits. Therefore, the development of international trade is very important to the national economy of any country. Mongolia began to democratize in 1990, that is, gradually opening up internationally since then. In 1997, Mongolia joined the World Trade Organization. In 2009, Mongolia had 118 trading partners. Mongolia's trade is growing rapidly. At the same time, Mongolia's economy has also achieved rapid growth in recent years. At present, there is very little literature on the relationship between Mongolia's international trade and economic growth. Most of the studies are simply to analyze the relationship between Mongolia's international trade and economic growth from the point of view of statistical data. This paper mainly focuses on the research direction of international trade and economic growth. On the basis of this, this paper puts forward the innovation from two aspects: the first is the innovation of the research object, the second is the innovation of the method, the second is the innovation of the Mongolian international trade on the national economy, the first is the innovation of the research object, the other is the research on the impact of Mongolia's international trade on the national economy. In the process of empirical testing, the method of ADF test is applied. This paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between international trade and economic growth in Mongolia, using cointegration analysis, Granger causality test and ADF test, etc. First of all, this paper reviews the theory and literature of trade promoting economic growth. On the basis of the theory, this paper combines the current situation of Mongolia's trade and economic development. This paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between Mongolia's trade growth and economic growth by using Mongolian trade data. The paper also studies the trade structure and the degree of international openness of Mongolia. According to the empirical results of this paper, this paper holds that the international trade of Mongolia has a high correlation with the economic growth of Mongolia. The development of international trade can promote the economic growth of Mongolia. On this basis, this paper analyzes the causes of this effect, and concludes that resources are the main driving factors of Mongolia's trade and economic growth. Finally, based on the conclusions of the study, this paper puts forward policy recommendations for Mongolia's trade development.
【学位授予单位】：山东大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F131.1;F753.11

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