中国城镇化与经济增长、农村发展关系的研究

发布时间：2018-03-26 18:19

本文选题：城镇化　切入点：经济增长　出处：《西北农林科技大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：城镇化的发展源于工业革命，城镇通过为社会与经济发展提供各种资源，成为了经济活动的中心。由于资源禀赋的差异，世界各地区的城镇化水平各不相同。我国是世界城镇化发展最快的国家，城镇化水平为52.6%，但距离世界发达国家的水平还有很大的差距。城镇化可以带动国家经济增长，实现产业转型，我国政府明确指出城镇化具有扩大内需的巨大潜力，遵循客观市场规律的城镇化，可以合理引导人口流动和产业转移，形成不同类型城镇间科学布局、合理分工、功能互补和协调推进。农业发展与城镇化的相互作用是城镇化的另一个发展重点，其核心是人的城镇化，目的在于提升居民福利，实现新型城镇化和农业现代化。本文在研究中，采用了理论与实证相结合的方法，梳理历史发展进程和发展特征，结合理论观点和理论模型，运用VAR计量模型，根据历史数据，实证检验了城镇化与经济增长、农业发展之间的关系。具体研究内容包括：第一章阐述研究背景和意义，综述国内外研究进展和相关文献，并作出评论，提出研究内容和使用的方法，指出本文研究的创新之处并描绘技术路线；第二章从经济增长推动城镇化和城镇化推动经济增长两个角度，总结相关经济理论，并将我国城镇化历程分为四个阶段分别进行了阐述，同时归纳了城镇化的特征和定位；第三章借用Black和Henderson的理论模型，论证二者之间的关系，并使用计量经济学VAR模型，实证检验了我国城镇化与经济增长的关系；第四章使用计量经济学VAR模型，运用实际数据，，分别实证检验了我国城镇化与城镇居民收入、农村居民收入、农业生产率和农业机械化效率之间的关系。第五章对分析结果做了总结，并提出相关建议。
[Abstract]:The development of urbanization originated from the industrial revolution. By providing various resources for social and economic development, cities and towns have become the center of economic activities. The level of urbanization varies from region to region in the world. China is the country with the fastest development of urbanization in the world. The urbanization level is 52.6%, but there is still a big gap between the level of urbanization in the developed countries and the level of urbanization in the world. Urbanization can promote national economic growth. In order to realize the industrial transformation, the Chinese government clearly points out that urbanization has great potential to expand domestic demand. Following the objective market law, urbanization can reasonably guide population flow and industrial transfer, and form a scientific layout among different types of towns. The interaction between agricultural development and urbanization is another important point of urbanization, the core of which is the urbanization of human beings, the purpose of which is to promote the welfare of residents and realize the new type of urbanization and agricultural modernization. In the research, this paper adopts the method of combining theory and demonstration, combing the historical development process and development characteristics, combining the theory viewpoint and theory model, using VAR econometric model, according to the historical data, This paper empirically examines the relationship between urbanization, economic growth and agricultural development. The specific research contents include: the first chapter describes the background and significance of the research, summarizes the domestic and foreign research progress and related literature, and makes comments. Put forward the research contents and methods, point out the innovation of this paper and describe the technical route. Chapter two summarizes the relevant economic theory from the two angles of economic growth promoting urbanization and urbanization promoting economic growth. The course of urbanization in China is divided into four stages, and the characteristics and orientation of urbanization are summarized. Chapter three uses the theoretical model of Black and Henderson to demonstrate the relationship between them, and uses the econometric VAR model. The fourth chapter uses econometrics VAR model and the actual data to test the relationship between urbanization and urban residents' income, rural residents' income respectively. The relationship between agricultural productivity and agricultural mechanization efficiency.
【学位授予单位】：西北农林科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F299.2;F124;F320

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