低碳经济背景下的绿色贸易政策转型研究
本文选题:出口贸易 切入点:低碳经济 出处:《山东财经大学》2013年硕士论文
【摘要】:随着全球经济一体化和各国之间的贸易合作,世界经济在21世纪有突飞猛进的发展;与此同时,全球气候变暖也逐渐成为世界面临的最严峻挑战之一。作为全球温室气体的排放大国,我国的二氧化碳排放量问题也引起了国际社会的广泛关注。近几年,由于来自国际方面的压力,我国在应对全球气候变化问题方面,一直保持积极的态度;同时实施实质性的举措:积极参与国际气候协议的谈判,并且尽职尽责地实质性地消减温室气体排放。 近几年,我国对外贸易持续性发展,但另一方面的代价是大量的二氧化碳等温室气体的排放。低碳经济现已成为全球经济合作发展的主流趋势,而我国对外贸易的持续增长及贸易中的碳排放问题,较大程度上不利于我国发展低碳经济和节能减排。因此,进行对外贸易转型,优化出口产品的结构就顺理成章的成为我国贸易可持续发展和发展低碳经济的必经之路。 本论文首先对大量的国内外研究文献进行了系统的总结,并对文中涉及到的低碳经济及绿色贸易的相关概念与理论进行了详细的介绍,为文章的写作提供了理论基础。从第三章开始到第五章是本篇论文的重点。首先,第三章先从我国的对外贸易规模、贸易结构、贸易分工以及主要的对外贸易市场四个方面着重详细地介绍了我国的贸易现状,并结合此现状分析我国在低碳经济背景下所面临的的国际减排压力和新型贸易壁垒对我国贸易造成的威胁。然后,第四章首先介绍了我国能源消费现状以及碳排放现状;再主要就我国对外贸易中的出口贸易与碳排放之间关系进行了整体上的相关性分析,通过相关系数检验、平稳性检验、协整检验以及Granger因果检验等进行实证分析,建立计量经济学模型,检验结果表明:我国碳排放量增加与我国出口贸易的增长相关,并且出口贸易的增长导致碳排放的增加;由此得出如下结论:出口贸易的扩张是我国近些年来碳排放增长的重要影响因素,因此我国目前现行的贸易模式不利于我国低碳经济的发展。第五章介绍了在低碳经济背景下,碳关税作为新型的绿色贸易壁垒对我国对外贸易的影响,分别从对我国贸易中的出口贸易总额和出口产业结构两方面的影响进行阐述,得出结论:在未来的全球经济和国际贸易发展中,高碳产品将越来越失去市场竞争力,而低碳产品将在有利的经营状况下获得更多的认可和推崇。因此,我国应该实现出口贸易的低碳转型,建立同低碳经济相适应的贸易模式,积极发展低碳经济。 论文最后一章针对前几章介绍和分析的现状及影响,提出了低碳经济背景下我国对外贸易转型的政策建议:着重从出口贸易产业结构优化,加工贸易的转型升级,培育新兴的贸易市场,稳定贸易依存度以及低碳技术的创新性五个方面对我国目前现行的贸易模式提供转型的建议,对我国更好更快的发展低碳经济具有重要的现实意义。
[Abstract]:With the integration of global economy and trade cooperation between the countries of the world economy developed rapidly in twenty-first Century; at the same time, global warming has become one of the most serious challenges facing the world. As a big country of greenhouse gas emission, two of carbon dioxide emissions in China has aroused widespread concern in the international community in recent. Years, because of international pressure, China in response to global climate change, always maintain a positive attitude; at the same time the implementation of substantive initiatives: to actively participate in the international climate agreement negotiations, and dutifully substantially reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
In recent years, the sustainable development of China's foreign trade, but on the other hand is the price of large amounts of greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide emissions. Low carbon economy has become the mainstream trend of global economic cooperation and development, and the continued growth of China's foreign trade and trade in carbon emissions, a large extent is not conducive to China the development of low carbon economy and energy saving and emission reduction. Therefore, foreign trade restructuring, optimize the structure of export products will become the only way which must be passed to sustainable development and logical development of trade of low carbon economy in China.
This paper first made a systematic summary of a large number of domestic and foreign literature, and related concepts of low carbon economy related to the paper and green trade and theory are introduced in detail, and provides the theoretical basis for the writing of this paper. From the beginning of the third chapter to the fifth chapter is the focus of this article first. The third chapter, first from China's foreign trade scale, trade structure, trade division and the main foreign trade market in four aspects mainly introduces the trade situation of China, and combined with the present situation analysis of our country under the background of low carbon economy faces the pressure of international emission reduction and new trade barriers caused by China's trade threat. Then, the fourth chapter introduces the current status of China's energy consumption and carbon emissions status; then mainly on the relationship between export trade and carbon emission in China's foreign trade in the whole phase Through correlation analysis, correlation coefficient test, stationarity test, cointegration test and Granger causality test and empirical analysis, econometric models, test results show that the increase in carbon emissions of China's trade with China's export growth, and the growth of export trade leads to an increase in carbon emissions; thus draw the following conclusions that the expansion of export trade is an important factor affecting China's carbon emissions growth in recent years. Therefore, China's current trade pattern is not conducive to the development of low carbon economy in China. The fifth chapter introduces the background of low carbon economy, carbon tariff as a new type of green trade barriers on China's foreign trade, respectively. From the two aspects of China's trade in exports and exports of industrial structure is expounded, draw the conclusion: in the future of the global economy and international trade development, high carbon yield Products will increasingly lose market competitiveness, and low carbon products will get more recognition and admiration under favorable operating conditions. Therefore, China should realize low carbon transformation of export trade, establish trade mode compatible with low carbon economy, and actively develop low carbon economy.
The last chapter of the thesis aiming at the status and influence of the previous chapters and analysis, put forward China's foreign trade transformation under the background of low carbon economy policy recommendations: mainly from the export structure optimization, transformation and upgrading of processing trade, cultivate new trade market, stable trade dependence and low carbon technology innovation five aspects of China's current trade pattern transformation proposal has important practical significance to our country better and faster development of low carbon economy.
【学位授予单位】:山东财经大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F752.0;F124.5
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