上下游供求潜力与FDI在我国的区位选择——基于地区投入产出表和空间效应的分析

发布时间：2018-03-31 05:04

本文选题：上游供应潜力　切入点：下游需求潜力　出处：《学术研究》2014年06期

【摘要】：利用地区投入产出表和1998—2007年30个省份39个工业行业数据回归发现,我国各省内部下游需求潜力具有显著的引资效应,而上游供应潜力的引资效应在2002年后开始显著,但各省周边地区的上游供应潜力表现出显著的引资竞争,这种竞争效应可能是FDI在我国地区分布不平衡的原因之一,减小了之前研究发现的一个地区周边的FDI增量越多流入该地的FDI越多的效应。从三大区域看,东、中和西部各工业行业上下游的供求潜力是决定外资集中于我国东部而不愿到中西部的重要原因之一。分行业看,文教体育用品制造等4个行业的上游供应潜力越大,引进的外资越多,纺织等10个行业的上下游供求潜力的引资效应不显著。基础设施、FDI存量和外企进出口的便利性在地区引资方面起了重要的作用。
[Abstract]:By using the regional input-output table and the data of 39 industrial industries in 30 provinces from 1998 to 2007, it is found that the downstream demand potential of the provinces in China has a significant effect of attracting investment, while the effect of upstream supply potential has begun to be significant after 2002. However, the upstream supply potential of the surrounding provinces shows significant competition for foreign investment. This competitive effect may be one of the reasons for the imbalance in the distribution of FDI in China. Reducing the effect of more FDI increments around a region found in previous studies, and more FDI flowing into the region. The upstream and downstream supply and demand potential of industrial industries in the central and western regions is one of the important reasons for the concentration of foreign capital in the eastern part of China and its reluctance to go to the central and western regions. By industry, the upstream supply potential of the four industries, such as cultural, educational, and sporting goods manufacturing, is greater. The more foreign capital is introduced, the less the effect of upstream and downstream supply and demand potential in 10 industries such as textile industry is, and the FDI stock of infrastructure and the convenience of import and export of foreign enterprises play an important role in regional investment attraction.
【作者单位】：中山大学岭南学院;
【基金】：教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目(11JZD022) 教育部人文社会科学规划基金项目(11YJA790042) 广东省人文社会科学研究基地重大项目(11JDXM79001)的阶段性成果
【分类号】：F832.6;F124

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