我国金融发展对城乡收入差距影响的动态倒U演化及下降点预测

发布时间：2018-03-31 18:35

  本文选题：金融发展　切入点：城乡收入差距　出处：《金融研究》2014年11期

【摘要】：准确识别我国金融发展对城乡收入差距的作用机制对研究诸多宏观经济问题具有重要意义。本文突破了多数已有研究中参数时不变性的限制,使用面板非参数时变系数模型来研究我国各地区金融发展与城乡收入差距的时变关系,并对未来发展模式进行预测。实证结果发现:我国金融发展对城乡收入差距的作用机制存在整体上的动态倒u特征和地区间的显著阶段性差异,Ⅰ类地区(北京、上海)、Ⅱ类地区(辽宁、山东等8个省市)目前处于金融发展抑制城乡收入差距扩大的阶段,Ⅲ类地区(山西、河北等13个省市)将在2018年进入该阶段,而Ⅳ类地区(甘肃、青海等7个省市)在近10年内不会进入该阶段。
[Abstract]:It is of great significance to identify accurately the mechanism of financial development on the income gap between urban and rural areas in China. This paper breaks through the limitation of parameter invariance in most previous studies. The time-varying relationship between financial development and urban-rural income gap in different regions of China is studied by using the panel non-parametric time-varying coefficient model. The empirical results show that the mechanism of financial development on the income gap between urban and rural areas has the overall characteristics of dynamic inversion and significant phase differences between regions, type I region (Beijing, Beijing, China). Shanghai, Shandong and other provinces and cities are at present in the stage of financial development to suppress the widening income gap between urban and rural areas. Class 鈪，

本文编号：1691942