城乡居民消费行为及结构演化的差异研究

发布时间：2018-04-09 02:05

本文选题：城乡居民消费行为　切入点：消费结构　出处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2015年10期

【摘要】：转变经济发展方式、实现经济内生增长是中国经济进入"新常态"阶段最迫切需要解决的问题,而实现这一目标,最为重要的则是居民消费水平的有效提升,尤其是农村居民消费困境的破解。基于此,本文采用非线性最小二乘法(NLS)对中国城乡居民消费行为及其演化规律进行了跨时期分析,结果发现城乡居民收入与消费之间表现为明显的非线性关系,并没有完全遵循边际消费倾向递减规律。"七五"时期和"八五"时期,城乡居民边际消费随收入的增加而递增;"九五"时期及以后,城镇居民边际消费随着收入的增加而递减,农村居民边际消费则仍随收入的增加而递增。从收入结构视角看,农民边际消费仅随工资生收入和家庭经营性收入的增加而递增,而城镇居民边际消费随工资性收入、家庭经营性收入和转移性收入的增加而递减。由于农民收入增长质量较低,而且收入结构不合理,从而直接导致农民消费水平低下且结构不合理,因此,提升农民消费水平,迫切需要优化农民收入结构和消费结构。
[Abstract]:Changing the mode of economic development and realizing endogenous economic growth are the most urgent problems that need to be solved when the Chinese economy enters the stage of "new normal", and the most important thing to achieve this goal is the effective promotion of the consumption level of the residents.In particular, rural residents to solve the plight of consumption.Based on this, this paper uses the nonlinear least square method to analyze the consumption behavior and its evolution of urban and rural residents in China. The results show that the relationship between income and consumption of urban and rural residents is obviously nonlinear.And does not follow the marginal consumption tendency decline law completely.During the Seventh Five-Year Plan period and the eighth Five-Year Plan period, the marginal consumption of urban and rural residents increased with the increase of income; during the Ninth Five-Year Plan period and after the Ninth Five-Year Plan period, the marginal consumption of urban residents decreased with the increase of income.The marginal consumption of rural residents is still increasing with the increase of income.From the perspective of income structure, the marginal consumption of farmers increases only with the increase of wage income and household income, while the marginal consumption of urban residents decreases with the increase of wage income, household income and transfer income.Because the quality of farmers' income growth is low and the income structure is unreasonable, the consumption level of farmers is low and the structure is unreasonable. Therefore, it is urgent to optimize the income structure and consumption structure of farmers in order to improve the consumption level of farmers.
【作者单位】：西南大学经济管理学院;西南大学统计学博士后流动站;
【基金】：国家社科基金重大招标项目(11&ZD047);国家社科基金重点项目(13AJY019);国家社科基金青年项目(12CJY062;14CGL029) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(13YJC790149) 国家软科学研究计划(2013GXS4D143) 教育部高等学校博士学科点专项科研基金资助课题(博导类:20130182110025)资助
【分类号】：F713.55;F124.7

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