湖南省低碳经济发展路径的研究

发布时间：2018-04-28 05:41

本文选题：湖南省 + 低碳经济　；参考：《湖南农业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：低碳经济就是通过“低能耗、低污染、低排放”的发展方式,达到既能够保证经济的大力发展,又能够保护环境的目的,为了更好的推动湖南省低碳经济的发展,本文对湖南省1996-2009年能源消费碳排放量四个影响因子(经济、人口、能源结构、能源效率)进行估算,再结合脱钩理论模型得出期间经济发展与碳排放之间的定量数值,结论如下： (1)湖南省当前的能源和产业结构形势严峻,具有少煤少油的能源特征,能源供需缺口大,清洁能源所占比重较低；而产业结构中,部分产业耗能高等因素都阻碍着低碳经济的发展。 (2)运用KAYA恒等式(?)SPSS软件分析得出,在影响湖南省碳排放构成的因素中,经济是最主要的造成碳排放增加的因素,其次是人口强度因素,而对碳排放起主要抑制作用的是能源强度因素,能源结构因素虽有一定的抑制作用,但对碳排放的抑制效果非常微弱。 (3)湖南省经济发展与碳排放之间呈现出“N”型的波动关系,这说明了短期内政策和技术等外部因素是可以有效的控制碳排放增长,因此,湖南省可以通过政策的制定以及发展低碳技术来促进低碳经济的发展。 (4)长远角度来看,湖南省应从减少“碳源”和增加“碳汇”两个方面入手,一方面,通过打造低碳产业体系以及创建低碳城市等方面减少碳排放;另一方而,通过转变土地利用方式,来发挥土地这个巨大的碳汇在低碳经济发展中的作用。
[Abstract]:Low carbon economy is the development mode of "low energy consumption, low pollution and low emission", which can ensure the economic development and protect the environment. In order to promote the development of low carbon economy in Hunan Province, this paper has four factors (economy, population and energy) for 1996-2009 years' energy consumption carbon emissions in Hunan province. Then, combined with the decoupling theoretical model, the quantitative value of economic development and carbon emissions during the period is obtained. The conclusions are as follows:
(1) the current energy and industrial structure situation in Hunan is severe, with the energy characteristics of less coal and less oil, the gap of energy supply and demand is large and the proportion of clean energy is low. In the industrial structure, the high energy consumption of some industries hinders the development of low carbon economy.
(2) the analysis of the KAYA identity (?) SPSS software shows that in the factors affecting the carbon emission in Hunan, the economy is the most important factor causing the increase of carbon emissions, followed by the population intensity factors, and the main inhibition of carbon emissions is the energy intensity factors, although the energy structure factors have certain inhibitory effects, but the carbon emissions are The inhibition effect is very weak.
(3) there is a "N" type fluctuation relationship between Hunan's economic development and carbon emissions, which shows that the external factors such as policy and technology can effectively control the growth of carbon emissions in the short term. Therefore, Hunan can promote the development of low carbon economy through the formulation of policy and the development of low carbon technology.
(4) in the long run, Hunan should reduce carbon emissions by reducing carbon sources and increasing carbon sequestration, on the one hand, reducing carbon emissions by creating a low-carbon industrial system and creating low carbon cities. The other is to play the role of the huge carbon sink in the development of low carbon economy by changing the way of land use.

【学位授予单位】：湖南农业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F124.5

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