我国快递业对国民经济增长作用机制研究

发布时间：2018-04-29 08:57

本文选题：快递业 + 投入产出　；参考：《北京邮电大学》2013年博士论文

【摘要】：快递业是一个高速发展的行业。自2003年来,全球快递业营业额年均增长4%以上,快于世界经济增长的平均速度。中国已成全球快递业增长最快区域。据不完全统计,自1990年以来,中国快递物流市场年增长率在30%以上,是同期GDP平均增长率的3倍。这种增长对中国国民经济和各个产业的发展具有着怎样的意义?快递业的发展到底怎样影响着国民经济?这些疑问已经成为业内非常关心的话题,对这些疑问的解答也将对中国快递业的发展产生深远的影响。本文的研究也基于这种思考而展开。本文的研究分为七章。第一章为引言,回顾了中国快递业的发展历程,对快递业相关研究文献做了综述,在此基础上,提出了本文所要研究的问题,论证了本文的研究意义。第二章为相关理论及方法述评,对本文接下来的研究中所要用到的相关理论进行了介绍,包括投入产出分析、产业链分析以及系统动力学分析的理论基础。第三章是中国快递业的投入产出分析,在编制2007年投入产出调整表的基础上,对快递业对国民经济和社会发展的直接贡献和间接贡献分别进行了测算,系统、全面的评价了快递业对中国国民经济和产业发展的贡献。第四章是中国快递业产业链分析,在对快递业产业链纵向关系链条和横向关系链条进行分析的基础上,绘制了中国快递业产业链结构模型,并对快递业产业链的形成机理、存在问题和发展趋势进行了深入分析。第五章是中国快递业对国民经济增长作用途径分析。从对经济增长的概念和理论分析入手,以1985年-2011年中国经济增长的实际数据为基础进行了实证分析,揭示了中国经济增长的基本因素,以及快递业与上述基本要素间的相互影响和作用关系,系统归纳和整理了快递业对经济增长发挥作用的三种基本途径。第六章是中国快递业与国民经济增长间相互作用关系的系统动力学分析,在论文前几章分析的基础上,本章建立了快递业与国民经济增长间相互作用关系的系统动力学仿真模型,并进行了仿真和控制,并在仿真和控制分析基础上,得出了一些对快递产业发展有价值的结论。第七章是促进中国快递业发展的政策措施建议,在前述分析基础上,提出了促进中国快递业发展的政策和措施建议。第八章是结束语,阐明了本文的主要研究成果和未尽之处。
[Abstract]:Express delivery industry is a high-speed development of the industry. Since 2003, the annual turnover of the global express delivery industry has increased by more than 4 percent annually, faster than the average growth rate of the world economy. China has become the world's fastest growing express industry. According to incomplete statistics, since 1990, the annual growth rate of Chinese express logistics market is more than 30%, which is three times the average growth rate of GDP in the same period. What is the significance of this growth to the development of China's national economy and various industries? How does the development of express delivery industry affect the national economy? These questions have become a topic of great concern in the industry, and the answers to these questions will have a profound impact on the development of the Chinese express industry. The research of this paper is also based on this kind of thinking. This paper is divided into seven chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, reviews the development of express delivery industry in China, and summarizes the related research literature of express delivery industry. On the basis of this, it puts forward the problems to be studied in this paper and demonstrates the significance of the research. The second chapter is a review of relevant theories and methods, including the theoretical basis of input-output analysis, industry chain analysis and system dynamics analysis. The third chapter is the input-output analysis of Chinese express industry. On the basis of compiling the input-output adjustment table in 2007, the direct and indirect contributions of express delivery industry to the national economy and social development are calculated respectively. The contribution of express delivery industry to China's national economy and industry development is comprehensively evaluated. The fourth chapter is the analysis of China express industry chain. Based on the analysis of vertical and horizontal relationship chain of express industry chain, the structure model of Chinese express industry chain is drawn, and the forming mechanism of express industry chain is also discussed. The existing problems and development trend are analyzed in depth. The fifth chapter is the Chinese express industry to the national economy growth function way analysis. Based on the analysis of the concept and theory of economic growth, based on the actual data of China's economic growth from 1985 to 2011, this paper reveals the basic factors of China's economic growth. As well as the interaction and relationship between express delivery industry and the above basic elements, three basic ways for express delivery industry to play a role in economic growth are summarized and sorted out systematically. The sixth chapter is the system dynamics analysis of the interaction between the express industry and the national economic growth in China, based on the analysis of the previous chapters. In this chapter, the system dynamics simulation model of the interaction between express delivery industry and national economic growth is established, and the simulation and control are carried out. On the basis of simulation and control analysis, some valuable conclusions are obtained for the development of express delivery industry. The seventh chapter is the policy and measures to promote the development of express industry in China, based on the above analysis, put forward the policies and measures to promote the development of express industry in China. The eighth chapter is the conclusion, expounding the main research achievements and unfinished parts of this paper.
【学位授予单位】：北京邮电大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F259.2;F124.1

【参考文献】