台商对大陆直接投资的时空格局及其驱动机制研究
本文选题:台商直接投资(TDI) + 时空格局演化 ; 参考:《福建师范大学》2013年硕士论文
【摘要】:20世纪80年代以来,FDI(外商直接投资)作为全球最重要的经济推动力量之一,对经济全球化的发展起到了不可忽视的推动作用,也引起了国内外学者的普遍关注,对FDI的相关研究也随着经济全球化程度的加深而不断深入。TDI(台商直接投资)除具有一般FDI特性之外,在投资形态、投资动机及驱动机制等方面有其自身特色。进行TDI的空间区位选择及驱动机制研究,是FDI的一个研究特例及补充。随着TDI投资大陆地区的热潮愈发高涨,TDI的区位选择偏好及其机制的研究也引起了一些学者的关注,成为目前研究的一个热点。 本文在分析台湾对大陆直接投资的时间序列演变与东西部差异的基础上,运用Moran指数及Getis-Ord Gi方法,进一步研究TDI在大陆的空间格局演化,而后将TDI分布与FDI分布进行对比以突出其格局特征与发展趋势,结论表明:①与FDI相同,TDI在大陆地区的空间分布集中于东部沿海地区,且存在显著的空间差异,主要体现为沿海与中西部内陆地区差异,但同时表现出沿海向内陆扩散、转移的趋势;②TDI的空间分布存在显著的空间相关性,TDI在大陆存在显著的空间集聚,但这一集聚趋势逐渐减弱;③TDI在大陆地区的冷、热点区分布存在明显的“圈层结构”,冷热点区域波动变化,热点区域近20年不断向北扩展,但环渤海地区至今仍未成为台商投资的热点区域。④海西区、珠三角地区对FDI,尤其是TDI的吸引力不断减弱,反映出台资在大陆地区的分布驱动机制的转变。 建立驱动机制体系以进一步分析在较长时间尺度上、随着台海局势的不断变化,台商对大陆直接投资行为的转变、格局的演化以及驱动机制的变化,结果表明:在研究初期,台商在大陆直接投资的主要驱动因素依次为:通信发展水平、地区市场规模、劳动力成本、电力供应水平、政策环境、地区对外开放度,以及交通运输水平。自2001年起,台商对大陆直接投资的驱动因素重要性有所变化,最为关注的因素依次为:高素质劳动力、地区市场规模、劳动力成本、电力供应水平、对外开放度、区域政策环境,以及产业集聚水平。具体至各经济区,其不同要素的发展水平对TDI的吸引程度不同。 最后,根据研究成果提出大陆各地区TDI差异化引资策略:在全国层面,应提高地区基础设施服务水平;在保证劳动力质量的前提之下,进一步发挥劳动力优势;完善地区产业配套,提高集聚发展水平;进一步提高地区对外开放水平,实施区域发展政策推动各经济区协调发展。在经济区层面,不同经济区的引资策略不同。
[Abstract]:Since 1980s, FDI (foreign direct investment), as one of the most important economic driving forces in the world, has played an important role in promoting the development of economic globalization. It has also aroused the general concern of scholars both at home and abroad. The related research on FDI has also deepened and deepened.TDI with the deepening of economic globalisation. Besides having the general FDI characteristics, it has its own characteristics in the aspects of investment form, investment motivation and driving mechanism. The study of the spatial location selection and driving mechanism of TDI is a special case and supplement of FDI. As the upsurge of the TDI investment in the mainland area is increasing, the research on the preference of location selection and its mechanism of TDI also causes the research. The attention of some scholars has become a hot topic in current research.
Based on the analysis of the evolution of Taiwan's time series and the difference between eastern and Western countries, this paper uses the Moran index and the Getis-Ord Gi method to further study the evolution of the spatial pattern of TDI in the mainland, and then compares the distribution of TDI with the FDI distribution to highlight its pattern characteristics and development trend. The conclusion is that: (1) the same as FDI, TDI The spatial distribution of the continental area is concentrated in the eastern coastal areas, and there are significant spatial differences, which are mainly reflected in the difference between the coastal and the central and western regions, but at the same time it shows the trend of the diffusion and transfer of the coastal areas to the inland. (2) there is a significant spatial correlation in the spatial distribution of TDI, and there is a significant spatial agglomeration of TDI in the mainland, but the spatial distribution of the space exists in the mainland. There is a gradual weakening of the concentration trend; (3) there is a clear "trap structure" in the cold hot areas of the mainland, and the hot areas fluctuate and the hot areas have been expanded in the north for the last 20 years. But the region of the Bohai region has not become a hot spot for the investment of Taiwanese businessmen. (4) the attraction of the Pearl River Delta region to the FDI, especially the TDI. The weakening reflects the transformation of Taiwanese capital's distribution and driving mechanism in the mainland.
The driving mechanism system is established to further analyze the changes in the Taiwan Strait's direct investment behavior, the evolution of the pattern and the change of the driving mechanism on a long time scale. The results show that the main driving factors of direct investment in the mainland are the level of communication development in the early stage of the study. Regional market size, labor cost, power supply level, policy environment, regional openness, and traffic and transportation level. Since 2001, the importance of the driving factors for direct investment in mainland has changed. The most concerned factors are: high quality labor force, regional market scale, labor cost, and power supply level. The degree of openness, the regional policy environment and the level of industrial agglomeration are different. The level of development of different elements in specific economic zones is different from that of TDI.
Finally, according to the research results, we put forward the strategy of TDI differentiation in different regions of the mainland: at the national level, we should improve the level of regional infrastructure service; further exert the advantages of labor force under the premise of guaranteeing the quality of labor, improve the regional industrial matching, improve the level of agglomeration development, and further improve the level of regional opening to the outside world, and further improve the level of the region's opening to the outside world, The implementation of regional development policy promotes the coordinated development of all economic zones. At the economic zone level, the strategy of attracting foreign investment in different economic zones is different.
【学位授予单位】:福建师范大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2013
【分类号】:F129.9
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