俄罗斯的亚太能源战略分析

发布时间：2018-05-30 14:26

本文选题：俄罗斯 + 能源战略　；参考：《哈尔滨工业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：能源是国家经济发展和安全之所系，能源战略问题已成为各国政府重点筹划的焦点问题之一。俄罗斯作为石化资源大国高度重视中长期能源发展战略的制定和实施，经过不断摸索和修正，扣动了《2030年前能源战略》的出台，把目光重点转向了东方，提出将要积极促进与亚太地区双边和多边的能源合作。俄罗斯与亚太地区作为能源出口国与能源消费国两极，在国际政治舞台上具有举足轻重的地位。从当前的国际形势来看，亚太地区的经济得到了很大的发展，而要维持这种良好的态势，就需要能源的持续稳定供给，而这就使得国际能源市场产生了不小的变动。针对油气资源来说，供求存在着不平衡，，无论是双边关系、亚太稳定，还是国际格局的变化发展都与俄罗斯语亚太地区的能源关系紧密联系在一起。本文研究中以俄罗斯2030年前能源战略为核心，以亚太地区为对象，以SWOT模型为工具，形成国家战略层面的SWOT模型研究方法，深入分析俄罗斯与亚太地区能源合作的优劣势、机遇和挑战，建立能源战略评估的基本框架，清晰、深刻地掌握纷繁庞杂的俄罗斯的能源战略内涵，对2030年前俄罗斯在亚太地区的能源战略取向提出预测，据此得出俄罗斯与亚太地区的能源关系并非我们所想的是坚实的联盟，当然也并非是绝对的竞争对手，双方既有合作的必要性，又有广泛的合作领域，但彼此之间仍有摩擦，也正是因为如此，动态合作和竞争关系就成为了俄罗斯和亚太地区能源关系的一个必然的走势，只有这样才能实现真正的互利共赢。
[Abstract]:Energy is the key to national economic development and security. Russia, as a big country with petrochemical resources, attaches great importance to the formulation and implementation of the medium- and long-term energy development strategy. After continuous exploration and revision, it has pushed forward the introduction of "Energy Strategy before 2030" and turned its attention to the East. We will actively promote bilateral and multilateral energy cooperation with the Asia-Pacific region. Russia and the Asia-Pacific region, as energy exporters and energy consumers, play an important role in the international political arena. In view of the current international situation, the economy of the Asia-Pacific region has been greatly developed, and to maintain this good situation, we need a sustained and stable supply of energy, which makes the international energy market not small changes. For oil and gas resources, there is imbalance between supply and demand. Whether bilateral relations, Asia-Pacific stability, or the changes and developments of the international pattern are closely related to the energy relations in the Russian-speaking Asia-Pacific region. Taking the energy strategy of Russia before 2030 as the core, taking the Asia-Pacific region as the object and the SWOT model as the tool, this paper forms the research method of SWOT model at the national strategic level, and deeply analyzes the advantages and disadvantages of the energy cooperation between Russia and the Asia-Pacific region. Opportunities and challenges, the establishment of the basic framework of energy strategic evaluation, a clear and profound grasp of Russia's energy strategy connotation, and a forecast of Russia's energy strategy orientation in the Asia-Pacific region before 2030. Based on this, it is concluded that the energy relations between Russia and the Asia-Pacific region are not what we think is a solid alliance, of course, nor is it an absolute competitor. Both sides have both the necessity of cooperation and a wide range of areas of cooperation, but there are still frictions between them. Because of this, dynamic cooperation and competition have become an inevitable trend of energy relations between Russia and the Asia-Pacific region. Only in this way can real mutual benefit and win-win situation be realized.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F206;F151.2

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