河南省现代产业体系构建及Malmquist指数分析

发布时间：2018-06-08 04:38

本文选题：现代产业体系 + 灰色关联分析　；参考：《郑州大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：现代产业体系的构建是经济发展到一定阶段客观要求,构建现代产业体系有利于经济发展方式的转变,促进经济可持续发展,有利于经济、社会、环境的和谐发展,实现全面构建小康社会的目标。河南省在经济发展过程中由于区域要素禀赋、经济开放程度和市场化程度的局限,产业结构呈现出低度化、内源化的特征。要素瓶颈制约也进入了凸显期,环境容量趋于饱和,能源、土地等约束条件日趋紧缩,以粗放型发展、数量型扩张为特征的经济增长方式难以继续,河南省产业结构的亟需调整,构建现代产业体系迫在眉睫。本文结合河南省省情,运用灰色关联分析方法,对三次产业的主导产业进行选择,以构建河南省现代产业体系三维模型,并运用Malmquist指数对现代产业体系进行全要素生产率分析,分析结果作为河南省现代产业体系的优化依据,以期加快产业结构的调整步伐。本文对河南省三次产业比重和比较劳动生产率进行分析,结果表明与全国平均水平相比,依然存在差距。本文以三次产业的主导产业选择为切入点,运用灰色关联分析方法,对各产业与总增加值的相关联程度以及变化趋势为分析对象,确定三次产业的主导产业。根据已确定的主导产业,构建河南省现代产业体系三维模型：现代农业—工业主导产业—现代服务业,并对模型的运行机理加以阐释。全要素生产率的增长率常被视为科技进步的指标,反映的是技术进步对经济发展作用的影响程度,本文运用Malmquist指数对工业主导产业和现代服务业进行综合效率分析,测算出了综合效率、技术进步效率、纯技术进步效率、规模效率变化和全要素生产率变化。以此作为现代产业体系进行优化调整的依据,根据评价结果,对各产业的进一步发展,提出有针对性的政策及建议,为政府制定产业发展政策、确定产业布局、制定区域发展规划提供科学依据。
[Abstract]:The construction of the modern industrial system is the objective requirement of the economic development to a certain stage. The construction of the modern industrial system is conducive to the transformation of the mode of economic development, the promotion of sustainable economic development, and the harmonious development of the economy, society and environment. To achieve the goal of building a well-off society in an all-round way. In the process of economic development, due to the limitations of regional factor endowment, economic openness and marketization, the industrial structure of Henan Province presents the characteristics of low degree and endogenous. Factor bottleneck constraints have also entered a prominent period, environmental capacity tends to saturation, energy, land and other constraints are increasingly tight, with extensive development, quantitative expansion as the characteristics of economic growth is difficult to continue. It is urgent to adjust the industrial structure of Henan Province, and it is urgent to construct a modern industrial system. Based on the situation of Henan Province, this paper selects the leading industries of three industries by using the grey relational analysis method, in order to construct the three-dimensional model of the modern industrial system of Henan Province, and use Malmquist index to analyze the total factor productivity of the modern industrial system. The results are taken as the basis for the optimization of the modern industrial system in Henan Province in order to speed up the adjustment of the industrial structure. This paper analyzes the proportion of three industries and the comparative labor productivity in Henan Province. The results show that compared with the national average, There is still a gap. This paper takes the choice of leading industries of three industries as the starting point and uses the method of grey correlation analysis to determine the leading industries of the three industries by analyzing the correlation degree and the changing trend of each industry with the total added value. According to the established leading industries, the three-dimensional model of Henan modern industrial system is constructed: modern agriculture, industrial leading industry and modern service industry. The growth rate of total factor productivity (TFP) is often regarded as an indicator of scientific and technological progress, which reflects the influence of technological progress on economic development. In this paper, Malmquist index is used to analyze the comprehensive efficiency of industrial leading industry and modern service industry, and the comprehensive efficiency, technological progress efficiency, pure technological progress efficiency, scale efficiency change and total factor productivity change are calculated. As the basis for the optimization and adjustment of the modern industrial system, and according to the evaluation results, the paper puts forward targeted policies and suggestions for the further development of various industries, so as to formulate industrial development policies for the government and determine the industrial layout. Make regional development plan to provide scientific basis.
【学位授予单位】：郑州大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F224

【共引文献】