Gabbay模型在国际经济合作中的应用

发布时间：2018-06-08 10:38

本文选题：Gabbay模型 + 合作意愿　；参考：《长春工业大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着全球化的不断深化,国际经济合作以及区域性经济合作,已然成为历史发展的必然趋势。国际经济合作促进了国与国之间的经济联系,增进了相互间的依赖和影响,使区域性国际经济合作体不断增加,有利地推动了世界经济的发展。然而,并不是所有具有地缘关系的主体国都能够形成经济合作体,因此,探究国际经济合作体的形成机理和演化趋势,对推动区域性国际经济合作和中国参与策略的制定具有重要的现实意义。区域性国际经济合作体的形成和持续发展,受到很多因素的影响,然而合作主体意愿趋同是合作形成与持续发展的重要前提。因此,研究国际经济合作意愿的变化规律,探讨合作双方彼此的意愿趋同(趋近)的条件和路径,有益于揭示国际经济合作体形成机理。国际经济合作主体国的合作意愿趋同(趋近)是由其初始合作意愿(固有合作偏好)和主体国之间互动作用的共同影响决定的,并呈现出系统动力学特征。因此,本文引用了Gabbay模型,在解析了国际经济合作意愿特征的基础上,描述合作意愿演化的基本轨迹和取向。线性状态下,合作意愿演化结果是单一稳态的,如果合作体中主体间初始意愿是均衡差异,就会存在一种达到一致的情形,而这种差异是两者间的最大意愿分歧,那么就会存在要么有一个接受范围,要么完全没有；而非线性状态下,合作意愿演化则出现双稳定状态,合作意愿演化Gabbay模型的初始合作意愿小于临界点时,系统有唯一的均衡值,初始合作意愿大于临界点时,两个主体国的合作意愿均衡值可能会出现两次突变。上述分析对国际经济合作的形成与可持续的研究提供了定性分析的手段,但是,Gabbay模型在国际合作意愿演化的分析中也存在局限性。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of globalization, international economic cooperation and regional economic cooperation have become an inevitable trend of historical development. International economic cooperation has promoted economic ties between countries, increased mutual dependence and influence, increased regional international economic cooperation and promoted the development of the world economy. However, not all the main countries with geographical relations are able to form economic cooperation, therefore, to explore the formation mechanism and evolution trend of international economic cooperation, It is of great practical significance to promote regional international economic cooperation and the formulation of China's participation strategy. The formation and sustainable development of regional international economic cooperation are affected by many factors. However, the convergence of cooperation will is an important prerequisite for the formation and sustainable development of cooperation. Therefore, to study the changing law of the will of international economic cooperation, and to explore the conditions and paths of convergence (convergence) of the will of the two parties to the cooperation, It is beneficial to reveal the formation mechanism of international economic cooperation. The convergence (convergence) of the cooperation will of the main countries of international economic cooperation is determined by the joint influence of their initial cooperation will (inherent cooperation preference) and the interaction between the host countries. It also shows the characteristics of system dynamics. Therefore, the Gabbay model is used to describe the basic trajectory and orientation of the evolution of the willingness to cooperate on the basis of analyzing the characteristics of the willingness of international economic cooperation. In the linear state, the result of cooperative will evolution is single steady state. If the initial intention of the cooperation body is equilibrium difference, there will be a consistent situation, and this difference is the biggest will difference between the two. Then there will be either a range of acceptance or none at all, while in the nonlinear state, the evolution of cooperative willingness will be in a double stable state, and when the initial willingness to cooperate in the Gabbay model of cooperative will evolution is less than the critical point, There is a unique equilibrium value in the system. When the initial willingness to cooperate is greater than the critical point, the equilibrium value of the cooperation will of the two main countries may have two abrupt changes. The above analysis provides a qualitative analysis method for the formation and sustainability of international economic cooperation, but the Gabbay model has its limitations in the analysis of the evolution of international cooperation willingness.
【学位授予单位】：长春工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F114.4

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