广东区域金融发展差异与经济增长的关系

发布时间：2018-06-10 11:37

本文选题：区域金融发展差异 + 经济增长　；参考：《广东外语外贸大学》2013年硕士论文

【摘要】：本文以研究广东区域金融发展差异与经济增长的关系为主线，层层递进，剖析了广东区域金融发展的现状、区域金融发展差异的变动路径特征。我们归纳出以下主要结论：一、从广东区域金融发展的现状来看，珠三角经济区域无论在总量指标、结构指标还是效率指标上都占有绝对的优势，而东西两翼及山区五市在这三个指标上都处于劣势。二、从90年代开始，广东社会主义市场经济机制逐步完善，，在市场化机制的作用下，广东区域金融发展差异目前还处于市场化的趋异期。三、从量化的角度观察处于市场化趋异期的广东区域金融发展差异，每增长1年，广东省区域金融差异的泰尔指数的增长率会提高0.00014118，因此广东区域金融发展差异呈现加速上升态势，这也是区域金融发展差异的长期趋势。四、从长期协整关系来看，看出广东四个经济区域的金融差异对经济增长都有负的效应，但是在不同区域影响的效应并不相同，经济金融最发达的珠三角地区区域金融差异对其影响的效应并不是最大的，而山区经济区对区域金融差异的变化反应最为敏感。值得关注的是东翼地区的金融发展差异对人均GDP增速的影响在不断的增加。从短期效应来看，珠三角经济区人均GDP的短期变化不受短期区域金融差异的影响，但是东西两翼及山区，区域金融差异的变化对这三个地方的人均GDP变化有显著地负作用。同时我们通过误差修正模型还说明了在2000-2010年中广东通过各种政策措施增加人均GDP，但是区域金融发展差异仍在不断扩大这一事实。
[Abstract]:Based on the study of the relationship between regional financial development and economic growth in Guangdong, this paper analyzes the current situation of regional financial development and the characteristics of the changing path of regional financial development in Guangdong. We conclude the following main conclusions: first, from the current situation of Guangdong regional financial development, the Pearl River Delta economic region has absolute advantages in terms of total index, structural index and efficiency index. And the east-west two wings and five cities in the mountains in these three indicators are at a disadvantage. Secondly, since the 1990s, the socialist market economic mechanism of Guangdong has been gradually improved. Under the action of the market-oriented mechanism, the difference of regional financial development in Guangdong is still in the stage of marketization. Third, from a quantitative point of view, observe the regional financial development difference in Guangdong, which is in a period of market-oriented divergence, with each increase of one year. The growth rate of Taier index of regional financial difference in Guangdong Province will be increased by 0.00014118. therefore, the regional financial development difference in Guangdong Province is increasing rapidly, which is also the long-term trend of regional financial development difference. Fourthly, from the long-term co-integration relationship, we can see that the financial differences of the four economic regions in Guangdong have negative effects on economic growth, but the effects are different in different regions. The effects of regional financial differences on the economic and financial development of the Pearl River Delta are not the biggest, while the mountain economic zones are the most sensitive to the changes of regional financial differences. The influence of financial development difference on GDP per capita is increasing. From the short-term effect, the short-term change of GDP per capita in the Pearl River Delta Economic Zone is not affected by the short-term regional financial difference, but the change of the regional financial difference has a significant negative effect on the change of the per capita GDP in these three regions. At the same time, through the error correction model, we also illustrate the fact that Guangdong increased GDP per capita through various policy measures in 2000-2010, but the regional financial development gap is still expanding.
【学位授予单位】：广东外语外贸大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2013
【分类号】：F127;F832.7

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