农村转移劳动力价格趋同对国民经济的冲击效应

发布时间：2018-06-10 14:56

本文选题：农村转移劳动力 + 价格趋同　；参考：《上海经济研究》2014年07期

【摘要】：近年来,由于农村转移劳动力价格持续快速增长,农村转移劳动力价格出现了动态趋同于城镇劳动力价格的趋势,这将对中国国民经济产生巨大的冲击效应。本文运用系统动力学模型动态模拟表明:农村转移劳动力价格与城镇劳动力价格趋同对GDP、投资、出口和净出口有负面影响,农村转移劳动力价格趋同对消费和进口有正面影响。因此,我们应该未雨绸缪,采取措施积极应对农村转移劳动力价格的上升。
[Abstract]:In recent years, as the price of rural labor force has been increasing rapidly, the price of rural transfer labor force has a trend of dynamic convergence to the price of urban labor force, which will have a huge impact on China's national economy. In this paper, the dynamic simulation of system dynamics model shows that the price convergence of rural transferred labor force and urban labor force has a negative effect on GDP, investment, export and net export, while the price convergence of rural transferred labor force has a positive effect on consumption and import. Therefore, we should prepare for a rainy day and take measures to deal with the rising price of rural migrant labor.
【作者单位】：上海财经大学马克思主义研究院;上海财经大学公共经济与管理学院;
【基金】：2012年国家自然科学基金青年项目:(71203129)
【分类号】：F323.6;F124

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