金融规模、所有制结构与城镇就业容量——基于1997—2012年中国省级面板数据的分析

发布时间：2018-06-12 16:37

本文选题：金融规模 + 城镇就业　；参考：《西北大学学报(哲学社会科学版)》2014年06期

【摘要】：基于1997—2012年中国省级面板数据,运用系统广义矩估计法(SYSGMM),估计了金融规模对于城镇就业容量的效应,并对不同样本组分别估计,以观察地区差异。整体估计结果表明,无论以人员规模还是以增加值规模作为解释变量,估计系数均显著为正,其平方项的系数显著为负。这意味着金融规模能够促进城镇就业,但该效应递减,超过一定临界值将转为抑制效应。分组估计结果表明,金融规模扩张的就业效应在非公有制经济较发达的地区更明显,在非公有制经济欠发达的地区不明显,甚至表现为抑制效应。这意味着一个地区的所有制结构对金融规模与城镇就业的关系有重要影响。为增进金融发展的就业效应,我国一方面应讲求金融增长质量,实现有序适度扩张;另一方面要深化企业改革,激励非公有制经济进一步释放市场活力,以消除金融系统在资源配置中的扭曲效应。
[Abstract]:Based on the provincial panel data of China from 1997 to 2012, the effect of financial scale on urban employment capacity is estimated by using the system generalized moment estimation method (SYSGMMN), and the different sample groups are estimated to observe the regional differences. The overall estimation results show that the coefficient of estimation is significantly positive and the coefficient of square is significantly negative, regardless of whether the size of personnel or the scale of added value is taken as the explanatory variable. This means that financial size can promote urban employment, but the effect is decreasing, beyond a certain threshold will be turned into a restraining effect. The result of grouping estimation shows that the employment effect of financial scale expansion is more obvious in the non-public economy than in the developed area, but it is not obvious in the underdeveloped area of the non-public economy, or even the inhibition effect. This means that the ownership structure of a region has an important impact on the relationship between financial scale and urban employment. In order to enhance the employment effect of financial development, China should, on the one hand, focus on the quality of financial growth and achieve orderly and moderate expansion; on the other hand, it should deepen enterprise reform and encourage the non-public sector of the economy to further release market vitality. In order to eliminate the financial system in the allocation of resources distortion effect.
【作者单位】：西北大学经济管理学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金青年项目(11CJL047);国家社科基金项目(14BJL124)
【分类号】：F832;F121;F249.2

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